NYY
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.03×
Wind 3 mph in
74°F
open
+4
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
7 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · slight_out
72°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · slight_out
71°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.03
74°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | · | 18 | 0.324 | 92.0 | 10.4% | 36.7% vs RHP | 390 | 26.1% | 33.3% | 24.9% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | · | 35 | 0.249 | 87.2 | 9.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 390 | 19.5% | 36.4% | 30.5% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Jones | 51 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.234 | 96.8 | 4.9% | 30.8% vs RHP | 443 | 15.4% | 28.6% | 22.5% | 13 |
| 4 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.189 | 89.1 | 7.5% | 12.1% vs RHP | 379 | 12.9% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Jasson Dominguez ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.235 | 89.2 | 3.8% | 50.0% vs RHP | 353 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Caballero | 28 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.142 | 83.8 | 4.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Wells | 28 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.092 | 89.5 | 7.0% | 12.5% vs RHP | 377 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 2 |
| 8 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 26 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 206 | 0.113 | 88.3 | 5.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 409 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 26 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 26 | 0.303 | 90.8 | 8.4% | 27.8% vs LHP | 396 | 21.9% | 23.1% | 25.6% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 51 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.192 | 90.0 | 8.7% | 6.7% vs LHP | 394 | 15.8% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 45 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.147 | 91.5 | 8.5% | 15.4% vs LHP | 393 | 10.4% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Vierling | 37 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 157 | 0.141 | 87.1 | 5.9% | 11.1% vs LHP | 377 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 33 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.139 | 87.8 | 6.7% | 10.5% vs LHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Hao-Yu Lee | 31 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 182 | 0.125 | 87.8 | 7.1% | 5.6% vs LHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jahmai Jones | 29 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.096 | 91.4 | 6.9% | 13.3% vs LHP | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.077 | 84.7 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 24 |