ATH
@
6:45p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 0.86×
Wind 9 mph slight_out
64°F
open
+4
13 mph · slight_out
64°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
12 mph · slight_out
63°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
11 mph · out
62°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
10 mph · out
61°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
9 mph · out
60°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.95
64°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 75 | 🟡 B | +390 | · | 8 | 0.258 | 94.3 | 14.4% | 28.6% vs LHP | 410 | 23.3% | 33.3% | 23.5% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | · | 25 | 0.256 | 91.5 | 12.9% | 36.4% vs LHP | 416 | 21.7% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.239 | 89.8 | 10.9% | 30.0% vs LHP | 403 | 15.3% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Zack Gelof | 58 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.216 | 89.3 | 9.0% | 25.0% vs LHP | 392 | 23.3% | 33.3% | 22.7% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 29 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 197 | 0.108 | 84.1 | 4.4% | 7.7% vs LHP | 375 | 5.4% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 31 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 58 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 45 | 0.233 | 89.4 | 11.3% | 22.0% vs RHP | 394 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 54 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.200 | 88.7 | 9.6% | 20.8% vs RHP | 389 | 15.1% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 53 | 🟠 C | +370 | · | 67 | 0.193 | 91.9 | 9.8% | 18.6% vs RHP | 402 | 12.7% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman | 43 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.154 | 88.2 | 8.0% | 16.2% vs RHP | 398 | 6.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 32 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 181 | 0.137 | 87.8 | 5.0% | 7.9% vs RHP | 366 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.128 | 85.3 | 4.9% | 15.0% vs RHP | 393 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez ⚡ | 24 | ⚪ D | +1000 | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.122 | 87.2 | 1.7% | 2.9% vs RHP | 357 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 45 |