2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
ATH
@ 6:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 6:45p · roof open
Park 0.86× Wind 11 mph slight_out 55°F open
+5
13 mph · out
64°F
6:45p
Boost for HR environment
+4
12 mph · out
62°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
12 mph · out
60°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
11 mph · out
59°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
11 mph · out
58°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.86

55°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.78 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.94 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 68 🔵 C+ +370 · 18 0.258 94.3 12.3% 43.3% vs RHP 410 23.0% 25.0% 29.3% 26
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 63 🔵 C+ +370 · 28 0.256 91.5 11.1% 22.6% vs RHP 416 21.4% 20.0% 22.5% 32
3 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 58 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 52 0.216 89.3 7.7% 26.7% vs RHP 392 22.6% 25.0% 27.7% 30
4 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 56 🟠 C +500 · 58 0.239 89.8 9.4% 17.8% vs RHP 403 15.1% 16.7% 17.8% 30
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 40 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 150 0.155 89.7 8.2% 16.2% vs RHP 404 5.5% 9.1% 8.4% 21
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 37 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 168 0.121 88.3 7.5% 26.1% vs RHP 402 4.8% 18.2% 13.4% 21
7 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 222 0.108 84.1 3.8% 11.5% vs RHP 375 5.3% 11.1% 8.3% 31
8 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 230 0.084 85.9 3.0% 10.0% vs RHP 373 6.7% 10.0% 7.3% 18
Gage Jump
Gage Jump LHP
0.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.55 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 42 ⚪ D +425 · 131 0.233 89.4 5.7% 16.7% vs LHP 394 17.6% 8.3% 9.5% 30
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 39 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 161 0.200 88.7 4.9% 10.0% vs LHP 389 14.9% 18.2% 12.5% 24
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 38 ⚪ D +575 · 164 0.193 91.9 5.0% 13.6% vs LHP 402 12.5% 16.7% 12.7% 24
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 30 ⚪ D +575 🔥 HOT 209 0.154 88.2 4.1% 18.2% vs LHP 398 6.7% 16.7% 10.8% 23
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 234 0.137 87.8 2.5% 14.3% vs LHP 366 5.9% 8.3% 5.4% 32
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.128 85.3 2.5% 7.7% 393 2.8% 0.0% 4.7% 21
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.122 87.2 0.9% 5.0% vs LHP 357 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 40
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