NYY
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.02×
Wind 2 mph cross
54°F
open
+3
7 mph · slight_out
67°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
6 mph · cross
67°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
6 mph · in
66°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-3
4 mph · in
65°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
3 mph · in
63°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.82
54°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 71 | 🟡 B | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.299 | 90.8 | 12.4% | 27.8% vs LHP | 396 | 21.6% | 15.4% | 26.0% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 34 | 0.194 | 90.0 | 12.8% | 6.7% vs LHP | 394 | 15.6% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 48 | 0.231 | 91.3 | 10.9% | 19.6% | 373 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 52 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 75 | 0.157 | 91.5 | 12.6% | 15.4% vs LHP | 393 | 10.3% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.141 | 87.1 | 8.8% | 11.1% vs LHP | 377 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.116 | 88.7 | 9.8% | 6.7% | 380 | 3.0% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.140 | 87.8 | 9.8% | 10.5% vs LHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.087 | 84.7 | 5.4% | 4.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 22 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.319 | 92.0 | 9.8% | 50.0% vs LHP | 390 | 25.7% | 33.3% | 34.5% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 59 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 40 | 0.243 | 87.2 | 8.6% | 35.3% vs LHP | 390 | 19.0% | 36.4% | 29.4% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.187 | 89.1 | 7.0% | 17.4% vs LHP | 379 | 12.7% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan Mcmahon | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.150 | 90.6 | 8.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 380 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Wells | 28 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 213 | 0.091 | 89.5 | 6.6% | 9.1% vs LHP | 377 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Caballero | 27 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 217 | 0.139 | 83.8 | 4.3% | 30.0% vs LHP | 371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 26 |