SEA
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.80×
Wind 2 mph out
53°F
open
+0
6 mph · out
76°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · out
71°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
3 mph · slight_out
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-7
3 mph · cross
68°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
2 mph · in
67°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.64
53°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 31 | 0.288 | 92.9 | 9.1% | 32.4% vs RHP | 396 | 16.7% | 36.4% | 24.7% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 53 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.255 | 90.7 | 9.4% | 37.8% vs RHP | 385 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 22.2% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.187 | 90.0 | 7.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 410 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 35 | ⚪ D | +305 | · | 185 | 0.143 | 87.3 | 8.0% | 13.6% vs RHP | 390 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 197 | 0.162 | 91.7 | 6.3% | 20.7% vs RHP | 385 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.127 | 88.1 | 5.2% | 10.9% vs RHP | 385 | 9.3% | 25.0% | 6.3% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
J.P. Crawford ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.167 | · | 6.7% | 30.0% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 221 | 0.117 | 88.0 | 5.3% | 17.1% vs RHP | 390 | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 31 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 55 | 🟠 C | +305 | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.260 | 90.4 | 9.5% | 25.9% vs RHP | 392 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 21.7% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🔥 HOT | 103 | 0.195 | 91.4 | 8.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 410 | 13.9% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 40 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.187 | 86.7 | 8.1% | 18.5% vs RHP | 395 | 12.3% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.170 | 89.7 | 6.9% | 20.5% vs RHP | 378 | 16.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 200 | 0.112 | 89.4 | 7.9% | 14.8% vs RHP | 414 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 237 | 0.083 | 86.1 | 4.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 244 | 0.059 | 83.4 | 2.3% | 9.1% vs RHP | 410 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 35 |