BAL
@
1:07p
LAA
Stadium Conditions
Angel Stadium
First pitch 1:07p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 5 mph in
63°F
open
-10
11 mph · in
82°F
1:07p
Suppress for HR environment
-11
12 mph · in
85°F
2:07p
Suppress for HR environment
-11
12 mph · in
85°F
3:07p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
85°F
4:07p
Suppress for HR environment
-10
11 mph · in
85°F
5:07p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99
63°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0 — mild park boost, weather flat.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.226 | 90.1 | 11.1% | 23.6% vs RHP | 403 | 20.0% | 30.8% | 29.1% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🔥 HOT | 22 | 0.212 | 88.0 | 10.6% | 38.5% vs RHP | 402 | 15.3% | 50.0% | 23.3% | 2 |
| 3 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 50 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 84 | 0.122 | 87.3 | 10.3% | 14.8% vs RHP | 408 | 4.6% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.158 | 87.7 | 9.1% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Vaughn Grissom | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 107 | 0.150 | 89.8 | 8.1% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Jo Adell | 45 | ⚪ D | +390 | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.136 | 90.2 | 8.9% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 10.7% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 40 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.120 | 87.5 | 5.0% | 12.0% vs RHP | 369 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 27 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.221 | 94.2 | 10.7% | 30.0% vs RHP | 397 | 20.3% | 38.5% | 24.0% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 58 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.209 | 89.6 | 8.9% | 18.5% vs RHP | 388 | 19.5% | 23.1% | 25.3% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 54 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.174 | 85.7 | 10.5% | 25.0% vs RHP | 417 | 18.4% | 18.2% | 22.8% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | ❄ COLD | 76 | 0.188 | 91.4 | 10.2% | 23.7% vs RHP | 400 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.184 | 91.4 | 9.7% | 12.5% vs RHP | 403 | 15.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 46 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 105 | 0.166 | 89.1 | 8.1% | 21.9% vs RHP | 391 | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 36 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.107 | 89.8 | 7.0% | 6.8% vs RHP | 393 | 6.2% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 33 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.132 | 87.4 | 6.3% | 10.0% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 27 |