LongDong™ — BOS @ COL

BOS

@ 1:10p

COL

Coors Field · 17 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof open

Park 1.12× Wind 3 mph cross 65°F open

6 mph · slight_out

76°F

1:10p

Boost for HR environment

6 mph · slight_out

79°F

2:10p

Boost for HR environment

7 mph · slight_out

81°F

3:10p

Boost for HR environment

+10

8 mph · slight_out

82°F

4:10p

Boost for HR environment

+10

9 mph · slight_out

83°F

5:10p

Boost for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.12

65°F, wind 3 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kyle Freeland LHP 💥 Meltdown

1.81 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.76 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Willson Contreras	72	🟡 B	+255	🌧️ COOL	7	0.232	90.1	11.2%	31.2% vs LHP	402	19.2%	16.7%	35.8%	25
2	Jarren Duran	59	🟠 C	+350	🌧️ COOL	42	0.165	89.9	10.4%	10.0% vs LHP	396	14.9%	16.7%	13.9%	27
3	Wilyer Abreu ⚡	59	🟠 C	+350	·	45	0.160	89.8	10.2%	5.6% vs LHP	397	13.7%	27.3%	11.3%	30
4	Ceddanne Rafaela	54	🟠 C	+425	❄ COLD	70	0.171	86.4	7.5%	14.3% vs LHP	370	9.7%	16.7%	15.3%	34
5	Caleb Durbin ⚡	48	⚪ D	+700	🌤️ WARM	94	0.141	85.3	5.5%	7.7% vs LHP	388	5.8%	27.3%	16.2%	31
6	Carlos Narvaez	39	⚪ D	+475	❄ COLD	153	0.082	91.0	7.6%	0.0% vs LHP	386	0.0%	0.0%	9.6%	6
7	Marcelo Mayer ⚡	39	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	157	0.089	86.0	7.3%	28.6% vs LHP	388	3.7%	0.0%	9.3%	20
8	Masataka Yoshida ⚡	35	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	184	0.094	88.4	3.8%	2.7%	393	3.8%	0.0%	6.5%	18

Ranger Suarez LHP

0.68 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.49 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Hunter Goodman	70	🟡 B	+290	·	12	0.274	90.9	9.9%	35.7% vs LHP	404	25.0%	16.7%	32.6%	31
2	Tj Rumfield ⚡	48	⚪ D	+700	❄ COLD	89	0.202	84.5	6.2%	7.1% vs LHP	406	11.1%	0.0%	21.7%	39
3	Jake Mccarthy	44	⚪ D	+850	❄ COLD	119	0.170	84.4	5.5%	0.0% vs LHP	418	22.2%	0.0%	9.4%	26
4	Kyle Karros	40	⚪ D	+850	🌤️ WARM	147	0.129	89.4	6.7%	6.7% vs LHP	404	6.9%	11.1%	7.3%	28
5	Ezequiel Tovar	40	⚪ D	+625	❄ COLD	149	0.129	87.9	7.0%	0.0% vs LHP	422	7.0%	8.3%	6.3%	18
6	Willi Castro	39	⚪ D	+575	·	159	0.115	88.7	5.8%	7.7% vs LHP	422	6.9%	16.7%	8.6%	35
7	Troy Johnston	38	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	163	0.150	89.2	4.0%	6.7% vs LHP	415	1.8%	12.5%	9.5%	23
8	Edouard Julien	35	⚪ D	·	·	181	0.099	91.4	6.6%	9.7%	389	3.1%	0.0%	8.7%	20
9	Tyler Freeman ⚡	28	⚪ D	+850	🌤️ WARM	214	0.095	87.8	2.8%	25.0% vs LHP	369	3.3%	0.0%	9.3%	22

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Coors Field

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