LongDong™ — CHC @ NYM

CHC

@ 1:10p

NYM

Citi Field · 34 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof open

Park 0.94× Wind 8 mph slight_out 65°F open

11 mph · slight_out

76°F

1:10p

Neutral for HR environment

12 mph · slight_out

78°F

2:10p

Neutral for HR environment

12 mph · slight_out

80°F

3:10p

Neutral for HR environment

11 mph · slight_out

82°F

4:10p

Neutral for HR environment

11 mph · slight_out

84°F

5:10p

Neutral for HR environment

⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04

65°F, wind 8 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

CHC Bullpen Proxy

1.52 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·

18 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Juan Soto	74	🟡 B	·	·	4	0.266	93.3	14.5%	21.8%	399	20.6%	23.1%	29.1%	34
2	Juan Soto	74	🟡 B	·	·	5	0.266	93.3	14.5%	21.8%	399	20.6%	23.1%	29.1%	34
3	Mark Vientos	54	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	66	0.179	89.5	9.9%	15.4%	410	12.1%	25.0%	19.6%	14
4	Mark Vientos	54	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	67	0.179	89.5	9.9%	15.4%	410	12.1%	25.0%	19.6%	14
5	Francisco Alvarez	48	⚪ D	·	·	95	0.132	90.4	15.5%	14.3%	405	0.0%	0.0%	8.5%	23
6	Francisco Alvarez	48	⚪ D	·	·	96	0.132	90.4	15.5%	14.3%	405	0.0%	0.0%	8.5%	23
7	Carson Benge	45	⚪ D	·	·	109	0.143	90.1	9.2%	14.8%	399	9.5%	15.4%	11.3%	33
8	Carson Benge	45	⚪ D	·	·	110	0.143	90.1	9.2%	14.8%	399	9.5%	15.4%	11.3%	33
9	Bo Bichette	41	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	138	0.119	90.4	7.0%	11.6%	381	9.2%	23.1%	12.6%	39
10	Bo Bichette	41	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	139	0.119	90.4	7.0%	11.6%	381	9.2%	23.1%	12.6%	39
11	Marcus Semien	40	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	141	0.132	86.1	8.3%	10.3%	391	10.5%	7.7%	8.0%	27
12	Marcus Semien	40	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	142	0.132	86.1	8.3%	10.3%	391	10.5%	7.7%	8.0%	27
13	Brett Baty	31	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	202	0.088	88.9	7.1%	6.2%	415	4.2%	0.0%	7.4%	16
14	Brett Baty	31	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	203	0.088	88.9	7.1%	6.2%	415	4.2%	0.0%	7.4%	16
15	A.J. Ewing	28	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	215	0.113	·	4.6%	8.3%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	27
16	A.J. Ewing	28	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	216	0.113	·	4.6%	8.3%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	27
17	Luis Torrens	27	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	219	0.089	88.3	3.9%	4.2%	413	4.3%	0.0%	7.1%	18
18	Luis Torrens	27	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	220	0.089	88.3	3.9%	4.2%	413	4.3%	0.0%	7.1%	18

Sean Manaea LHP

0.99 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.09 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	63	🔵 C+	·	🌧️ COOL	27	0.229	91.4	9.7%	22.2% vs LHP	393	20.5%	46.2%	28.8%	34
2	Ian Happ	60	🔵 C+	·	❄ COLD	35	0.243	90.0	10.6%	17.4% vs LHP	403	22.1%	15.4%	19.0%	30
3	Seiya Suzuki ⚡	44	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	117	0.176	89.4	8.5%	25.0% vs LHP	409	10.5%	8.3%	11.2%	21
4	Michael Busch	43	⚪ D	·	·	124	0.154	88.4	9.6%	10.5% vs LHP	400	10.1%	7.7%	9.8%	30
5	Dansby Swanson ⚡	39	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	160	0.134	89.2	7.1%	22.2% vs LHP	396	11.8%	15.4%	8.2%	22
6	Carson Kelly ⚡	36	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	171	0.109	88.5	7.6%	17.6% vs LHP	421	5.9%	16.7%	12.9%	15
7	Alex Bregman	34	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	189	0.132	87.9	6.3%	7.7% vs LHP	395	6.5%	7.7%	6.6%	31
8	Nico Hoerner	23	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	231	0.093	85.8	3.0%	12.5% vs LHP	383	5.2%	0.0%	7.1%	35

Nolan McLean RHP

0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	59	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	43	0.229	91.4	8.1%	21.1% vs RHP	393	20.5%	46.2%	24.2%	34
2	Ian Happ	57	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	53	0.243	90.0	8.9%	28.3% vs RHP	403	22.1%	15.4%	22.2%	30
3	Seiya Suzuki ⚡	42	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	127	0.176	89.4	7.1%	24.2% vs RHP	409	10.5%	8.3%	12.7%	21
4	Michael Busch	40	⚪ D	·	·	146	0.154	88.4	8.1%	13.0% vs RHP	400	10.1%	7.7%	8.7%	30
5	Dansby Swanson ⚡	36	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	178	0.134	89.2	6.0%	9.8% vs RHP	396	11.8%	15.4%	8.0%	22
6	Carson Kelly ⚡	33	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	192	0.109	88.5	6.4%	5.6% vs RHP	421	5.9%	16.7%	12.3%	15
7	Alex Bregman	32	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	198	0.132	87.9	5.3%	17.0% vs RHP	395	6.5%	7.7%	8.7%	31
8	Nico Hoerner	22	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	235	0.093	85.8	2.5%	4.8% vs RHP	383	5.2%	0.0%	7.2%	35

🏟️

Six home runs to freedom

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

Unlock all 150 picks + conviction tools Already have an account? Sign in

31 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Citi Field

Unlock the full game board

The top 10 picks. Every morning.