MIL
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.09×
Wind 3 mph cross
58°F
open
-1
5 mph · in
77°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
4 mph · in
73°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · cross
71°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
2 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
2 mph · slight_out
66°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98
58°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.260 | 92.7 | 10.2% | 35.9% vs RHP | 399 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 25.4% | 16 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.239 | 92.2 | 10.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 18.4% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 55 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 60 | 0.156 | 92.5 | 10.5% | 25.0% vs RHP | 422 | 7.1% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 55 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.196 | 91.0 | 8.7% | 28.9% vs RHP | 406 | 10.8% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.143 | 90.4 | 7.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 418 | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 44 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.138 | 88.2 | 7.3% | 15.8% vs RHP | 399 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.100 | 86.3 | 5.8% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.090 | 85.9 | 4.0% | 6.7% vs RHP | 402 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | · | 33 | 0.237 | 94.2 | 10.9% | 35.3% vs LHP | 394 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.194 | 89.5 | 10.4% | 28.6% vs LHP | 394 | 12.3% | 30.0% | 26.2% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Jj Bleday | 59 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 39 | 0.286 | 89.8 | 9.3% | 23.1% vs LHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 55 | 🟠 C | +370 | · | 61 | 0.197 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 35.7% vs LHP | 395 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 63 | 0.219 | 88.6 | 9.6% | 24.3% | 398 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 106 | 0.142 | 90.7 | 9.2% | 8.3% vs LHP | 384 | 8.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🔥 HOT | 125 | 0.156 | 88.8 | 8.9% | 26.7% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 41 | ⚪ D | +370 | · | 132 | 0.148 | 87.0 | 8.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 22 |