2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.09× Wind 3 mph cross 58°F open
-1
5 mph · in
77°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
4 mph · in
73°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · cross
71°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
2 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
2 mph · slight_out
66°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.98

58°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder RHP
0.81 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.37 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 69 🔵 C+ +305 🌤️ WARM 14 0.260 92.7 10.2% 35.9% vs RHP 399 18.9% 11.1% 25.4% 16
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 69 🔵 C+ +305 🌧️ COOL 15 0.239 92.2 10.5% 20.0% vs RHP 395 18.4% 27.3% 21.8% 38
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 55 🟠 C +475 · 60 0.156 92.5 10.5% 25.0% vs RHP 422 7.1% 20.0% 19.4% 24
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 55 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 62 0.196 91.0 8.7% 28.9% vs RHP 406 10.8% 9.1% 15.1% 25
5 William Contreras William Contreras 46 ⚪ D +400 🌤️ WARM 108 0.143 90.4 7.7% 16.7% vs RHP 418 9.9% 9.1% 7.4% 34
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 44 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 118 0.138 88.2 7.3% 15.8% vs RHP 399 7.3% 11.1% 9.1% 26
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 35 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 183 0.100 86.3 5.8% 7.5% vs RHP 383 5.6% 0.0% 7.7% 17
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 31 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 201 0.090 85.9 4.0% 6.7% vs RHP 402 3.2% 0.0% 7.6% 23
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan LHP
0.76 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.49 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 61 🔵 C+ +370 · 33 0.237 94.2 10.9% 35.3% vs LHP 394 15.8% 0.0% 22.2% 0
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 60 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 37 0.194 89.5 10.4% 28.6% vs LHP 394 12.3% 30.0% 26.2% 23
3 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 59 🟠 C +400 🌧️ COOL 39 0.286 89.8 9.3% 23.1% vs LHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 23.1% 27
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 55 🟠 C +370 · 61 0.197 90.8 10.8% 35.7% vs LHP 395 9.5% 8.3% 16.9% 33
5 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 63 0.219 88.6 9.6% 24.3% 398 15.6% 0.0% 12.4% 18
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 46 ⚪ D +475 · 106 0.142 90.7 9.2% 8.3% vs LHP 384 8.1% 14.3% 12.7% 14
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 42 ⚪ D +500 🔥 HOT 125 0.156 88.8 8.9% 26.7% vs LHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 17
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 41 ⚪ D +370 · 132 0.148 87.0 8.0% 20.0% vs LHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 18.2% 22
🏟️
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