2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
LAD
@ 6:40p
MIN
Target Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Target Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.05× Wind 3 mph in 59°F open
+12
11 mph · out
70°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · out
68°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
9 mph · out
66°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+9
8 mph · out
64°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+8
7 mph · out
63°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.95

59°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
0.89 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.41 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 75 🟡 B +225 🔥 HOT 3 0.260 93.8 14.0% 26.7% vs RHP 404 18.9% 54.5% 32.2% 22
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 71 🟡 B +305 ❄ COLD 9 0.246 90.5 13.5% 28.6% vs RHP 408 19.1% 28.6% 32.8% 43
3 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 59 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 41 0.200 90.7 11.7% 18.5% vs RHP 396 14.7% 23.1% 24.0% 35
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 52 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 78 0.208 89.5 10.0% 26.1% vs RHP 390 15.8% 0.0% 12.5% 37
5 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 47 ⚪ D +575 · 102 0.166 89.8 9.6% 15.0% vs RHP 385 8.1% 15.4% 9.1% 39
6 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.134 88.9 7.7% 10.4% vs RHP 400 5.3% 8.3% 8.5% 28
7 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 35 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 182 0.109 89.5 8.6% 10.7% vs RHP 373 3.6% 0.0% 8.4% 17
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani RHP
0.35 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.60 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 71 🟡 B +350 🌤️ WARM 10 0.335 90.9 8.4% 36.2% vs RHP 402 34.3% 46.2% 29.3% 39
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 53 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 74 0.227 92.2 6.8% 19.1% vs RHP 388 13.5% 18.2% 14.2% 40
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 49 ⚪ D +575 🔥 HOT 87 0.161 88.7 7.2% 20.0% vs RHP 397 17.9% 30.8% 16.3% 36
4 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 45 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 113 0.187 87.5 4.2% 21.9% vs RHP 371 16.9% 25.0% 11.9% 43
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 41 ⚪ D +575 · 137 0.147 89.7 6.0% 21.9% vs RHP 402 8.9% 18.2% 10.5% 36
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 39 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 156 0.150 86.2 5.1% 13.5% vs RHP 406 6.3% 22.2% 10.5% 33
7 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 32 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 195 0.131 89.0 5.1% 22.7% vs RHP 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 21
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 227 0.085 84.5 3.4% 5.1% vs RHP 369 3.0% 8.3% 6.3% 32
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.080 86.7 3.0% 4.3% vs RHP 392 2.1% 0.0% 6.2% 13
🏟️
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