LAD
@
6:40p
MIN
Stadium Conditions
Target Field
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.05×
Wind 3 mph in
59°F
open
+12
11 mph · out
70°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · out
68°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+10
9 mph · out
66°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+9
8 mph · out
64°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+8
7 mph · out
63°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.95
59°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 75 | 🟡 B | +225 | 🔥 HOT | 3 | 0.260 | 93.8 | 14.0% | 26.7% vs RHP | 404 | 18.9% | 54.5% | 32.2% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 71 | 🟡 B | +305 | ❄ COLD | 9 | 0.246 | 90.5 | 13.5% | 28.6% vs RHP | 408 | 19.1% | 28.6% | 32.8% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 59 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 11.7% | 18.5% vs RHP | 396 | 14.7% | 23.1% | 24.0% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Andy Pages | 52 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 78 | 0.208 | 89.5 | 10.0% | 26.1% vs RHP | 390 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Mookie Betts | 47 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 102 | 0.166 | 89.8 | 9.6% | 15.0% vs RHP | 385 | 8.1% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.134 | 88.9 | 7.7% | 10.4% vs RHP | 400 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.109 | 89.5 | 8.6% | 10.7% vs RHP | 373 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 17 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 71 | 🟡 B | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.335 | 90.9 | 8.4% | 36.2% vs RHP | 402 | 34.3% | 46.2% | 29.3% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 53 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.227 | 92.2 | 6.8% | 19.1% vs RHP | 388 | 13.5% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 49 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 87 | 0.161 | 88.7 | 7.2% | 20.0% vs RHP | 397 | 17.9% | 30.8% | 16.3% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Brooks Lee | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 113 | 0.187 | 87.5 | 4.2% | 21.9% vs RHP | 371 | 16.9% | 25.0% | 11.9% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 41 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 137 | 0.147 | 89.7 | 6.0% | 21.9% vs RHP | 402 | 8.9% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.150 | 86.2 | 5.1% | 13.5% vs RHP | 406 | 6.3% | 22.2% | 10.5% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 195 | 0.131 | 89.0 | 5.1% | 22.7% vs RHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 227 | 0.085 | 84.5 | 3.4% | 5.1% vs RHP | 369 | 3.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.080 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 4.3% vs RHP | 392 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 13 |