2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
HOU
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 7:07p · roof unknown
Park 1.16× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.16

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.92 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.00 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 77 🟡 B +350 · 2 0.221 92.2 11.5% 30.9% vs RHP 400 18.3% 33.3% 32.6% 22
2 George Springer George Springer 61 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 32 0.173 88.6 8.5% 21.9% vs RHP 392 10.1% 25.0% 23.2% 32
3 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.194 89.7 8.7% 23.8% vs RHP 397 13.0% 0.0% 18.7% 8
4 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 59 🟠 C +400 ❄ COLD 44 0.182 91.0 9.8% 22.2% vs RHP 398 10.7% 0.0% 17.2% 11
5 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 59 🟠 C +475 🔥 HOT 46 0.154 86.1 7.8% 14.3% vs RHP 384 9.8% 50.0% 16.5% 5
6 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 45 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 111 0.143 85.3 4.9% 8.3% vs RHP 374 9.6% 0.0% 9.4% 30
7 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 44 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 114 0.139 86.4 6.0% 14.3% vs RHP 391 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 22
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 38 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 162 0.098 86.2 2.8% 10.0% vs RHP 383 3.4% 10.0% 10.6% 27
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage RHP
0.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.49 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 67 🔵 C+ +280 🌧️ COOL 19 0.311 94.5 9.5% 27.4% vs RHP 400 0.0% 0.0% 30.5% 36
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 65 🔵 C+ +390 🌧️ COOL 25 0.245 90.3 7.2% 29.4% vs RHP 390 20.8% 16.7% 30.9% 30
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 86 0.139 88.2 6.7% 11.1% vs RHP 410 10.5% 25.0% 17.5% 16
4 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 48 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 92 0.167 87.0 4.7% 16.1% vs RHP 388 9.4% 18.2% 22.7% 32
5 Cam Smith Cam Smith 48 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 97 0.133 89.8 7.6% 15.6% vs RHP 415 11.0% 18.2% 10.6% 30
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 47 ⚪ D +475 · 99 0.168 87.0 5.6% 20.0% vs RHP 367 10.7% 9.1% 14.2% 27
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 43 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 123 0.158 85.9 6.0% 26.9% vs RHP 376 0.0% 0.0% 24.3% 27
8 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 196 0.116 85.9 2.8% 11.5% vs RHP 373 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 14
🏟️
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