2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAA RHB
Jorge Soler

Jorge Soler

RHB
LAA · 59 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
15.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
31.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.211
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#6
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.212
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
83th pctile
88.0
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
34th pctile
10.6%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
78th pctile
38.5% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
99th pctile
402
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
73th pctile
15.3%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
50.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
23.3%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
95th pctile
2
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 9 HRs in 59 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
59
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
30
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
5
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
56%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#59.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
5 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-08 #17 Grant Holmes Angel Stadium · · · 105.9 mph 402.0 ft
2026-04-10 #31 Chase Burns Great American Ball Park · · · 110.4 mph 418.0 ft
2026-04-27 #43 Anthony Kay Rate Field · · · 107.9 mph 431.0 ft
2026-05-05 #20 Erick Fedde Angel Stadium · · · 105.9 mph 410.0 ft
2026-05-20 #47 Aaron Civale Angel Stadium · · · 108.6 mph 432.0 ft
All Appearances
59 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-23 #40 Shane Baz R/R * 20.2% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-22 #68 Kyle Bradish · 19.6% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-06 #56 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 22.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #27 Roki Sasaki · 26.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #37 Michael Lorenzen · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #29 Tomoyuki Sugano · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #32 Kyle Freeland · 17.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #72 Shane McClanahan · 12.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #79 Drew Rasmussen · 18.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #27 Jack Flaherty · 16.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #138 Casey Mize · 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #80 Keider Montero · 13.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #30 MacKenzie Gore · 18.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #57 Jacob deGrom · 21.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #15 Luis Severino · 25.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #47 Aaron Civale · 18.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-19 #26 Jacob Lopez · 18.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #38 J.T. Ginn · 17.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #32 Roki Sasaki · 29.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #40 Justin Wrobleski · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #32 Blake Snell · 25.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #102 Parker Messick · 19.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #41 Slade Cecconi · 30.9% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-11 #77 Joey Cantillo · 24.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #84 Spencer Miles · 26.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #85 Dylan Cease · 32.9% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #137 Noah Schultz · 25.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #20 Erick Fedde · 30.6% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-04 #121 Davis Martin · 16.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #99 Clay Holmes · 21.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #126 Nolan McLean · 28.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #98 Christian Scott · 18.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-29 #157 Erick Fedde · 22.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #104 Davis Martin · 24.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #43 Anthony Kay · 16.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-26 #109 Seth Lugo · 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #94 Cole Ragans · 19.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #80 Noah Cameron · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #9 Eric Lauer · 36.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #7 Patrick Corbin · 36.0% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-20 #11 Dylan Cease · 30.6% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-19 #22 Michael King · 31.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #8 Germán Márquez · 46.3% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #6 Matt Waldron · 42.9% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-13 #8 Will Warren · 21.9% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-12 #22 Andrew Abbott · 22.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #14 Brandon Williamson · 25.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #31 Chase Burns · 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-08 #17 Grant Holmes · 22.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-07 #127 Reynaldo López · 9.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-06 #90 Chris Sale · 10.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #63 Luis Castillo · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #24 Emerson Hancock · 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #115 Matthew Boyd · 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #53 Jameson Taillon · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #60 Edward Cabrera · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #185 Cristian Javier · 9.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-03-27 #31 Mike Burrows · 14.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-26 #52 Hunter Brown · 13.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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