Today · 2026-09-24

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-23. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	74	·	●	Tyler Phillips (RHP) MIA @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	45	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-20 OffCarson Spiers Exit Velo105.3 mph Angle33.0° Distance411 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●○○	0.7×	1	MIA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1404.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind6 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 6 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	74	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-23 OffAndrew Abbott Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance415 ft StadiumTruist Park	●○○○●	0.0×	2	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.86 IP1358.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind3 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 3 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L)	73	·	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	41	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-23 OffMason Englert Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance383 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○●	0.0×	1	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.05 IP1361.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Yordan Alvarez (L)	71	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle37.0° Distance385 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+29 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Jake Bauers (L)	66	·	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-09-13 OffBrandon Williamson Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle21.0° Distance386 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.2×	1	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1366.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-50 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) CWS @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.31 FIP4.74 IP1390.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) NYM @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.18 IP1331.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind5 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 5 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (S)	63	·	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.20 IP1309.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind3 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 3 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.35 IP1374.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	62	·	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.40 FIP4.87 IP1430.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1398.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.03 FIP3.75 IP1418.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Bryse Wilson (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.67 IP1293.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-51 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+35 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) MIA @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.47 FIP4.70 IP1287.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-28 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind6 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 6 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	David Sandlin (RHP) CWS @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP1375.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-22 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ BOS · Fenway Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.88 IP1341.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Fenway Park cold air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp55°F Wind8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note55°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+35 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+35 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV86.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1420.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) CWS @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.31 FIP4.74 IP1390.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1398.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Nick Pivetta (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.09 FIP4.13 IP1318.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind3 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 3 mph S (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1421.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · PNC Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind7 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 7 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1366.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-47 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Nick Pivetta (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.09 FIP4.13 IP1318.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind3 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 3 mph S (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.86 IP1358.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind3 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 3 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.86 IP1358.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind3 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 3 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1421.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · PNC Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind7 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 7 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.0%

▼ -0.1 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-23

24 HRs

37%

9 caught / 24 HRs

in top 50

#1 Ben Rice

35.5%

🟡

#5 Pete Alonso

33.4%

🔵

#8 Matt Olson

28.0%

🔵

#12 Pete Alonso

27.5%

🔵

#22 Mike Trout

15.0%

🔵

#26 Brandon Lowe

25.9%

🔵

#28 Juan Soto

12.8%

🔵

#35 Christian Encarnacion-Strand

22.1%

🟠

#38 Kyle Stowers

15.9%

🟠

Missed

Brice Turang Vaughn Grissom George Lombard Jr. Manny Machado Ryan McMahon +10 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×4 Brandon Lowe ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Kyle Stowers ×2 Juan Soto ×2

❄️ Cold

Coby Mayo 0 of 7d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d Corey Seager 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.2%

C+ 17.3%

C 13.8%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-24

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.