3
HRs allowed
12.0%
HR rate (pool)
24.3%
Overall HR/FB
7.27
FIP
5.94
xFIP
+1.32
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
60.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.4 EV · 402 ft
max EV allowed 111.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against David Sandlin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
35.5%
83.8
14.6°
2
+1.5
Curveball Breaking
28.4%
85.5
19.7°
2
-0.5
Cutter Hard
16.0%
79.3
8.6°
0
-1.4
Sinker Hard
8.9%
80.5
16.7°
0
-2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups25
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate12.0%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB24.3% 93
HR/9—
FIP7.27 98
xFIP5.94
FIP − xFIP+1.32 95
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed60.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 35.5% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle14.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches111
Curveball
Breaking · 28.4% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle19.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches89
Cutter
Hard · 16.0% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.3 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Sinker
Hard · 8.9% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches28
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against David Sandlin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.4 EV · 402 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-26
7
0
111.5
2026-06-01
9
1
105.8
2026-05-27
9
2
106.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — David Sandlin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.