Today · 2026-09-27

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#7 Pro pick vs Kyle Freeland FIP 5.02 HR/FB 24.2%

📦 STACK Seth Johnson FIP 4.68 HR/FB 14.3% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Kyle Freeland FIP 5.02 HR/FB 10.0% → #3 Munetaka Murakami, #7 Pro pick

📦 STACK Sean Manaea FIP 4.5 HR/FB 22.7% → #4 James Wood, #10 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-26. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Alonso (R)	75	·	●	Elmer Rodríguez (RHP) BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	43	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-25 OffYerry De los Santos Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance471 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●●●●	0.0×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.76 IP1443.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-63 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind13 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-63 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 42 HR Note62°F, wind 13 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Munetaka Murakami (L)	74	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-25 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance412 ft StadiumRate Field	●○○●○	0.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1449.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteUnknown stadium
3	James Wood (L)	71	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	63d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	14.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.16 IP1485.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind14 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note63°F, wind 14 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Yordan Alvarez (L)	69	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	42	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle37.0° Distance385 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+11 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Juan Soto (L)	72	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-23 OffCody Bradford Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle35.0° Distance429 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.38 FIP4.74 IP1461.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind14 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note63°F, wind 14 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	71	·	●	BOS Bullpen Proxy CHC @ BOS · Tropicana Field	3:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.93 FIP3.63 IP1414.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 44 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7	Pro pick (L)	67	·	●	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.01 FIP4.02 IP1387.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-50 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind13 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note62°F, wind 13 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	67	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1449.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Pro pick (R)	67	·	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.14 IP1393.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.16 IP1485.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Nationals Park cool air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind14 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note63°F, wind 14 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (S)	65	·	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) CIN @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.86 IP1323.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind8 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note73°F, wind 8 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.23 FIP4.06 IP1377.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-77 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind13 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-4 Spray/Wind-77 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 44 HR Note60°F, wind 13 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	68	·	●	CHC Bullpen Proxy CHC @ BOS · Tropicana Field	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.45 FIP4.67 IP1305.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
14	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1415.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1449.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Elmer Rodríguez (RHP) BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.76 IP1443.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-76 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind13 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-76 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note62°F, wind 13 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+26 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) TB @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1384.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-63 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind13 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-4 Spray/Wind-63 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 41 HR Note60°F, wind 13 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -4 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	63	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy PIT @ DET · Comerica Park	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.08 FIP4.08 IP1495.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+26 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Brandon Williamson (LHP) CIN @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.35 FIP4.86 IP1375.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind8 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note73°F, wind 8 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1415.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1449.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Seth Johnson (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV86.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.92 IP1439.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+33 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind5 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note72°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Carson Seymour (RHP) LAD @ SF · Oracle Park	3:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP4.26 IP1501.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+60 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note67°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.14 IP1393.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR NoteUnknown stadium
29	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy PIT @ DET · Comerica Park	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.08 FIP4.08 IP1495.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Janson Junk (RHP) ATL @ MIA · loanDepot Park	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.10 FIP4.22 IP1419.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind3 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 41 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.5%

▼ -0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-26

29 HRs

20%

6 caught / 29 HRs

in top 50

#1 Yordan Álvarez

39.9%

🟡

#6 Junior Caminero

25.4%

🔵

#7 Hunter Goodman

27.9%

🔵

#19 Jeremy Peña

29.5%

🟠

#23 Isaac Paredes

24.7%

🟠

#28 Brandon Lowe

24.1%

🟠

Missed

Jake Burger Alec Burleson JJ Bleday Drake Baldwin Manny Machado +18 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×5 Brandon Lowe ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Eugenio Suárez ×2 Hunter Goodman ×2

❄️ Cold

Coby Mayo 0 of 7d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 7d Corbin Carroll 0 of 6d Jake Bauers 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.6%

B 20.2%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-27

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.