Today · 2026-09-26

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Munetaka Murakami vs Jose Quintana FIP 5.75 HR/FB 33.3% #12 Pro pick vs Jack Ralston FIP 5.96 HR/FB 20.0% #15 Pro pick vs Jose Quintana FIP 5.75 HR/FB 33.3%

📦 STACK Jack Perkins FIP 4.63 HR/FB 22.9% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jose Quintana FIP 5.75 HR/FB 33.3% → #2 Munetaka Murakami, #5 Miguel Vargas, #8 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Munetaka Murakami (L)	73	·	●	Jose Quintana (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	35	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-25 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance412 ft StadiumRate Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1441.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	Juan Soto (L)	71	·	●	Connelly Early (LHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-23 OffCody Bradford Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle35.0° Distance429 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○●○○	0.7×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.38 FIP4.75 IP1451.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-45 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind13 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 13 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Yordan Alvarez (L)	68	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle37.0° Distance385 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+31 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kyle Schwarber (L)	67	·	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) TB @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	45	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-09-15 OffJackson Kent Exit Velo98.3 mph Angle33.0° Distance366 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.23 FIP4.06 IP1373.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-69 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind14 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-69 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 14 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Miguel Vargas (R)	66	·	●	Jose Quintana (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-19 OffJackson Jobe Exit Velo102.2 mph Angle33.0° Distance390 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○○	1.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1441.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
6	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Davis Martin (RHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.14 IP1383.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP1464.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind13 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 13 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1407.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Jose Quintana (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1441.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Pro pick (R)	66	·	●	PHI Bullpen Proxy TB @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1375.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-77 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind14 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-77 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 14 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Jack Ralston (RHP) ATL @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1410.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind5 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP3.87 IP1350.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind8 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 8 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (S)	60	·	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) CIN @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.03 FIP3.87 IP1316.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind6 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Jose Quintana (LHP) COL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1441.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP1464.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind13 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 13 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (S)	59	·	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.18 IP1491.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp57°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.18 IP1491.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp57°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	62	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy PIT @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP4.07 IP1475.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.18 IP1491.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp57°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note57°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1367.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind6 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1407.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (S)	58	·	●	Connelly Early (LHP) NYM @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:35p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.38 FIP4.75 IP1451.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-54 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind13 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-54 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 13 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	DET Bullpen Proxy PIT @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP4.07 IP1475.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 4 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%6.4% Avg EV86.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) TB @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.23 FIP4.06 IP1373.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-73 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind14 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-73 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 14 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	55	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) HOU @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1428.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+29 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▼ -2.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-25

29 HRs

31%

9 caught / 29 HRs

in top 50

#1 Pete Alonso

46.7%

🟢

#3 Munetaka Murakami

37.1%

🟡

#4 Pete Alonso

31.8%

🟡

#26 Carter Jensen

25.4%

🟠

#29 Christian Walker

16.5%

🟠

#34 Rafael Flores Jr.

34.8%

🟠

#39 Cam Smith

15.8%

🟠

#41 Jeremiah Jackson

22.5%

🟠

#47 Eugenio Suárez

23.8%

🟠

Missed

Zach Neto Jordan Walker Dominic Canzone Dylan Beavers Kody Clemens +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×5 Brandon Lowe ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Christian Walker ×2 Eugenio Suárez ×2

❄️ Cold

Coby Mayo 0 of 8d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 7d Max Muncy 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-26

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.