Slate · 2026-06-20

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

214 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

1:10p

1:35p

2:20p

4:05p

4:10p

7:15p

🔥

9:10p

10:05p

10:10p

Locks 0/6

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

2026-06-20

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 6 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Byron Buxton vs Zac Gallen FIP 5.57 HR/FB 26.5% #2 Brandon Lowe vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.42 HR/FB 20.9% #6 Colson Montgomery vs Troy Melton FIP 5.44 HR/FB 26.7% #9 Randal Grichuk vs Troy Melton FIP 5.44 HR/FB 20.0% #10 Bryan Reynolds vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.42 HR/FB 20.9% #14 Dominic Canzone vs Connelly Early FIP 5.03 HR/FB 26.7%

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.42 HR/FB 20.9% → #2 Brandon Lowe, #10 Bryan Reynolds

📦 STACK Trevor Rogers FIP 4.52 HR/FB 11.1% → #4 Shohei Ohtani, #12 Max Muncy

📦 STACK Walbert Ureña FIP 4.23 HR/FB 9.5% → #5 Nick Kurtz, #15 Shea Langeliers

📦 STACK Troy Melton FIP 5.44 HR/FB 26.7% → #6 Colson Montgomery, #9 Randal Grichuk

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Byron Buxton (R) ³	83	-9.2	Zac Gallen (RHP) MIN @ AZ · Chase Field	10:10p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.55 IP677.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96.5°F Wind4 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3	Byron Buxton — Home Run OffYilber Díaz Exit Velo104.5 mph Angle25.0° Distance402 ft StadiumChase Field
2	·Brandon Lowe (L) ²	82	-10.4	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	9:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.40 FIP4.85 IP669.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.7°F Wind4.1 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
3	·Ben Rice (L) ²	81	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.07 IP658.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-70 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.6°F Wind6.0 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-70 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +1
4	·James Wood (L) ⁴	79	·	Ian Seymour (LHP) WSH @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV95.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.10 IP672.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	77	-11.2	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.22 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.4°F Wind7.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2	Shohei Ohtani — Home Run OffAndrew Kittredge Exit Velo114.6 mph Angle40.0° Distance413 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
6	·Nick Kurtz (L) ³	77	-10.3	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.48 IP687.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Kyle Schwarber (L) ²	76	-1.7	Freddy Peralta (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.96 FIP3.85 IP647.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+22 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.7°F Wind4 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1	Kyle Schwarber — Home Run OffTobias Myers Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle43.0° Distance359 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
8	·Max Muncy (S) ³	76	·	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.22 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.4°F Wind7.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2
9	·Hunter Goodman (R) ²	75	-5.8	Paul Skenes (RHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	9:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.95 IP691.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-53 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.7°F Wind4.1 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
10	·Colson Montgomery (L) ³	74	·	Troy Melton (RHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.97 FIP3.96 IP673.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+74 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+74 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph NW (out) — modifier: +0
11	·Dominic Canzone (L) ²	72	·	Connelly Early (LHP) BOS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.22 FIP4.18 IP651.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp60.6°F Wind9.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 9 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
12	·Shea Langeliers (R) ²	72	-10.3	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.48 IP687.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ³	72	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV87.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.07 IP658.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-75 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.6°F Wind6.0 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-75 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +1	Paul Goldschmidt — Home Run OffAndrew Abbott Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance396 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
14	·Juan Soto (L) ²	72	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.17 FIP3.79 IP670.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.7°F Wind4 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1
15	·Zach Neto (R) ³	70	-5.7	J.T. Ginn (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.47 FIP4.87 IP662.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	·Randal Grichuk (R)	69	·	Troy Melton (RHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	8	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.97 FIP3.96 IP673.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+76 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+76 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph NW (out) — modifier: +0
17	·Bryan Reynolds (S) ⁴	69	-6.0	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	9:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.40 FIP4.85 IP669.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-57 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.7°F Wind4.1 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-57 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
18	·Corbin Carroll (L) ³	69	-6.0	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ AZ · Chase Field	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.26 IP691.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-15 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96.5°F Wind4 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3
19	·Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	69	-5.1	Zac Gallen (RHP) MIN @ AZ · Chase Field	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.55 IP677.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96.5°F Wind4 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3
20	·Tyler Soderstrom (L) ³	68	-4.1	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.48 IP687.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	·Pete Alonso (R)	68	-6.3	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP651.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.4°F Wind7.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2
22	·Curtis Mead (R) ²	68	·	Ian Seymour (LHP) WSH @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.10 IP672.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
23	·Ian Happ (S) ⁴	67	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP3.95 IP669.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2
24	·Zack Gelof (R) ³	66	·	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%6.4% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.48 IP687.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
25	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	66	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP3.95 IP669.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+40 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2	Pete Crow-Armstrong — Home Run OffLazaro Estrada Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle32.0° Distance400 ft StadiumWrigley Field
26	Kazuma Okamoto (R)	66	·	Colin Rea (RHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.52 FIP4.72 IP685.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2	Kazuma Okamoto — Home Run OffJacob Webb Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance377 ft StadiumWrigley Field
27	·Luke Raley (L) ²	65	·	Connelly Early (LHP) BOS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.22 FIP4.18 IP651.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp60.6°F Wind9.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 9 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
28	·Matt Olson (L) ⁴	64	·	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/90.92 FIP3.57 IP657.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind1.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1
29	·Esteury Ruiz (R) ²	64	·	Trevor McDonald (RHP) SF @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	4	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP4.21 IP659.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
30	·Jackson Chourio (R) ²	64	·	Chris Sale (LHP) MIL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.00 IP704.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind1.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's 214 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

⚾ Unlock tonight's full slate → Pro Already have an account? Sign in

209 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

Lock your picks, track your hit rate, and analyze co-occurrence.

Upgrade to Unlock

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-20

25 HRs

36%

9 caught / 25 HRs

in top 50

#1 Byron Buxton

35.1%

🟢

#4 Shohei Ohtani

32.9%

🟢

#11 Kyle Schwarber

40.1%

🟡

#16 Paul Goldschmidt

36.7%

🔵

#25 Pete Crow-Armstrong

19.9%

🔵

#26 Spencer Horwitz

17.2%

🔵

#40 CJ Abrams

17.5%

🔵

#41 Kazuma Okamoto

25.8%

🔵

#50 Dillon Dingler

22.4%

🟠

Missed

Bryce Harper Spencer Steer Dylan Crews Sam Antonacci Kyle Manzardo +11 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-20

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.