2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIL
@ 4:10p
ATL
Truist Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 4:10p · roof open
Park 0.94× Wind 1 mph out 84°F open
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04

84°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison LHP
1.04 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.09 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 64 🔵 C+ · · 28 0.289 93.5 10.2% 22.2% vs LHP 409 23.0% 15.4% 23.8% 29
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.240 92.3 11.6% 53.8% vs LHP 407 22.6% 0.0% 22.7% 7
3 Eli White Eli White 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.194 87.6 7.0% 18.2% vs LHP 366 20.0% 25.0% 15.5% 16
4 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.171 90.2 8.6% 18.2% vs LHP 399 13.3% 0.0% 10.8% 12
5 Austin Riley Austin Riley 40 ⚪ D · · 148 0.167 91.2 8.7% 20.0% vs LHP 409 8.2% 0.0% 10.8% 23
6 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 34 ⚪ D · · 172 0.152 87.1 5.6% 13.8% vs LHP 390 12.2% 0.0% 9.0% 35
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 188 0.144 86.3 6.6% 8.3% vs LHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 34
8 Joey Bart Joey Bart 29 ⚪ D · · 196 0.111 86.9 7.6% 0.0% vs LHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 0
Chris Sale
Chris Sale LHP
0.65 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.18 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.255 92.0 9.7% 60.0% vs LHP 395 20.6% 44.4% 33.9% 46
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.205 90.8 7.7% 12.5% vs LHP 406 11.4% 27.3% 19.1% 33
3 Gary Sanchez Gary Sanchez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.233 88.3 8.1% 40.0% vs LHP 413 0.0% 0.0% 28.0% 17
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.168 92.8 9.6% 20.0% 422 7.5% 18.2% 15.3% 27
5 William Contreras William Contreras 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.140 89.9 6.9% 11.1% vs LHP 420 9.0% 18.2% 7.7% 38
6 Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 35 ⚪ D · · 169 0.190 89.6 4.6% 22.2% vs LHP 412 6.2% 0.0% 11.4% 28
7 Blake Perkins Blake Perkins 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 181 0.102 86.1 5.7% 14.3% vs LHP 399 10.0% 25.0% 12.0% 11
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.052 87.5 4.5% 0.0% vs LHP 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 27
🏟️
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