MIL
@
4:10p
ATL
Stadium Conditions
Truist Park
First pitch 4:10p
· roof open
Park 0.94×
Wind 1 mph out
84°F
open
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04
84°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 28 | 0.289 | 93.5 | 10.2% | 22.2% vs LHP | 409 | 23.0% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.240 | 92.3 | 11.6% | 53.8% vs LHP | 407 | 22.6% | 0.0% | 22.7% | 7 |
| 3 |
|
Eli White | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.194 | 87.6 | 7.0% | 18.2% vs LHP | 366 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Mateo | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.171 | 90.2 | 8.6% | 18.2% vs LHP | 399 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.167 | 91.2 | 8.7% | 20.0% vs LHP | 409 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 172 | 0.152 | 87.1 | 5.6% | 13.8% vs LHP | 390 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.144 | 86.3 | 6.6% | 8.3% vs LHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Bart | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 196 | 0.111 | 86.9 | 7.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 0 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.255 | 92.0 | 9.7% | 60.0% vs LHP | 395 | 20.6% | 44.4% | 33.9% | 46 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.205 | 90.8 | 7.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 11.4% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Gary Sanchez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.233 | 88.3 | 8.1% | 40.0% vs LHP | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28.0% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.168 | 92.8 | 9.6% | 20.0% | 422 | 7.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.140 | 89.9 | 6.9% | 11.1% vs LHP | 420 | 9.0% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.190 | 89.6 | 4.6% | 22.2% vs LHP | 412 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Blake Perkins | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.102 | 86.1 | 5.7% | 14.3% vs LHP | 399 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 12.0% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.052 | 87.5 | 4.5% | 0.0% vs LHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 27 |