Slate · 2026-06-19

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2026-06-19

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 6 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Shohei Ohtani vs Trey Gibson FIP 6.48 HR/FB 25.0% #4 Zach Neto vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 5.36 HR/FB 23.6% #8 Max Muncy vs Trey Gibson FIP 6.48 HR/FB 25.0% #9 Pete Alonso vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.0 HR/FB 26.3% #12 Freddie Freeman vs Trey Gibson FIP 6.48 HR/FB 25.0% #14 Bryan Reynolds vs Kyle Freeland FIP 5.49 HR/FB 25.0%

📦 STACK Trey Gibson FIP 6.48 HR/FB 25.0% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #8 Max Muncy, #12 Freddie Freeman

📦 STACK José Soriano FIP 3.95 HR/FB 23.3% → #3 Nick Kurtz, #15 Shea Langeliers

📦 STACK Rhett Lowder FIP 3.95 HR/FB 10.3% → #6 Ben Rice, #10 Jasson Dominguez, #13 Spencer Jones

📦 STACK Kyle Freeland FIP 5.49 HR/FB 7.7% → #11 Brandon Lowe, #14 Bryan Reynolds

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	85	·	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.25 IP667.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
2	·Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	82	-6.0	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.46 IP679.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
3	·Hunter Goodman (R) ³	81	-3.8	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.95 FIP3.92 IP690.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+25 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.1°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
4	Max Muncy (S) ⁵	81	-5.6	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟢 A	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.25 IP667.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4	Max Muncy — Home Run OffChase Silseth Exit Velo101.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance426 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
5	·James Wood (L) ³	80	·	Griffin Jax (RHP) WSH @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.10 IP672.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
6	Ben Rice (L) ³	79	-10.5	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.07 IP658.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.1°F Wind13 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 13 mph NW (in) — modifier: -2	Ben Rice — Home Run OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.1 mph Angle26.0° Distance433 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
7	·Brandon Lowe (L) ³	77	-1.7	Kyle Freeland (LHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.40 FIP4.85 IP669.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.1°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
8	Zach Neto (R) ⁴	75	-8.3	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.48 FIP4.89 IP652.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Zach Neto — Home Run OffJustin Sterner Exit Velo101.3 mph Angle24.0° Distance401 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
9	Pete Alonso (R)	75	-6.7	Roki Sasaki (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP651.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4	Pete Alonso — Home Run OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo97.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance375 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
10	·Byron Buxton (R) ²	73	-10.0	Michael Soroka (RHP) MIN @ AZ · Chase Field	9:45p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.55 IP677.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp104.0°F Wind1.0 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note104°F, wind 1 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +3
11	·Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	73	-8.9	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.46 IP679.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
12	·Freddie Freeman (L) ³	71	-3.2	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.25 IP667.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
13	·Tyler Soderstrom (L)	70	-3.5	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.46 IP679.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
14	·Paul Goldschmidt (R) ³	70	-6.8	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV87.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.07 IP658.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-61 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.1°F Wind13 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 13 mph NW (in) — modifier: -2
15	·Jackson Chourio (R) ³	69	-3.8	Martín Pérez (LHP) MIL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.00 IP704.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.0°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +2
16	·Andy Pages (R) ²	69	-6.0	Trey Gibson (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.25 IP667.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
17	·Zack Gelof (R) ³	68	-1.5	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.06 FIP4.46 IP679.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	·Spencer Jones (L) ²	67	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	2	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%5.2% Avg EV97.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.41 FIP5.07 IP658.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.1°F Wind13 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 13 mph NW (in) — modifier: -2
19	·Bryan Reynolds (S) ⁵	67	·	Kyle Freeland (LHP) PIT @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.40 FIP4.85 IP669.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.1°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1
20	·Christian Walker (R) ⁴	67	-4.8	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.22 FIP4.04 IP679.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93.2°F Wind6.0 mph S Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 6 mph S (in) — modifier: +3
21	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ²	67	·	Kevin Gausman (RHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.13 FIP3.94 IP660.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.5°F Wind5.0 mph N Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph N (out) — modifier: +0
22	·Colson Montgomery (L) ²	66	·	Tarik Skubal (LHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.97 FIP3.96 IP673.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+52 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.6°F Wind3 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
23	·Coby Mayo (R) ²	66	-5.0	Roki Sasaki (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP651.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
24	Gunnar Henderson (L) ³	65	-4.9	Roki Sasaki (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP651.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4	Gunnar Henderson — Home Run OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle40.0° Distance375 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
25	·Junior Caminero (R) ²	65	+2.6	PJ Poulin (LHP) WSH @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.41 FIP4.80 IP702.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	·Jordan Walker (R) ⁴	65	-4.0	Seth Lugo (RHP) STL @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.47 IP669.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.4°F Wind1.0 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 1 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
27	·Corbin Carroll (L) ⁴	65	-4.0	Connor Prielipp (LHP) MIN @ AZ · Chase Field	9:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.26 IP683.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-26 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp104.0°F Wind1.0 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note104°F, wind 1 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +3
28	·Dillon Dingler (R) ³	65	·	Brandon Eisert (LHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.52 IP649.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+56 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.6°F Wind3 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29	·Samuel Basallo (L) ³	65	-4.9	Roki Sasaki (RHP) BAL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP651.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
30	·Dominic Canzone (L) ³	64	-1.2	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.17 IP643.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81.1°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 216 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-19

33 HRs

21%

7 caught / 33 HRs

in top 50

#4 Zach Neto

32.2%

🟡

#6 Ben Rice

34.5%

🟡

#8 Max Muncy

32.9%

🟡

#9 Pete Alonso

36.1%

🟡

#18 Gunnar Henderson

19.4%

🔵

#33 Randal Grichuk

25.4%

🔵

#41 CJ Abrams

21.9%

🔵

Missed

Mookie Betts Jonathan Aranda TJ Rumfield Jac Caglianone Logan O'Hoppe +21 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-19

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The top 10 picks. Every morning.