STL
@
8:15p
KC
Stadium Conditions
Kauffman Stadium
First pitch 8:15p
· roof open
Park 0.90×
Wind 1 mph cross
82°F
open
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
12:15a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99
82°F, wind 1 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.253 | 94.8 | 12.4% | 30.9% vs RHP | 408 | 19.7% | 23.1% | 21.7% | 45 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 58 | 🟠 C | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.201 | 91.5 | 11.2% | 24.5% vs RHP | 405 | 18.3% | 46.2% | 18.4% | 47 |
| 3 |
|
Lars Nootbaar ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 100 | 0.195 | 95.3 | 12.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Jimmy Crooks | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.156 | 91.7 | 9.8% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 150 | 0.167 | 89.6 | 8.7% | 17.2% vs RHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Nathan Church | 36 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.133 | 85.8 | 10.0% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.137 | 90.3 | 9.3% | 17.0% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 23 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.078 | 87.4 | 5.8% | 10.0% vs RHP | 379 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 37 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 78 | 0.160 | 93.4 | 11.7% | 18.5% vs RHP | 413 | 10.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Massey | 49 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 88 | 0.205 | 91.1 | 9.0% | 11.8% vs RHP | 398 | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Carter Jensen | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.177 | 91.0 | 9.0% | 18.8% vs RHP | 382 | 13.2% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Lane Thomas ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🔥 HOT | 124 | 0.124 | 87.2 | 7.0% | 18.2% vs RHP | 413 | 15.8% | 33.3% | 13.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Loftin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 163 | 0.143 | 87.3 | 7.7% | 8.3% vs RHP | 381 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Collins | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.081 | 88.5 | 7.9% | 6.7% vs RHP | 377 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 35 |