2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 8:15p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 8:15p · roof open
Park 0.90× Wind 1 mph cross 82°F open
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
4 mph · in
78°F
12:15a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.99

82°F, wind 1 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.50 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 65 🔵 C+ +425 🌤️ WARM 26 0.253 94.8 12.4% 30.9% vs RHP 408 19.7% 23.1% 21.7% 45
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 58 🟠 C +700 🌤️ WARM 43 0.201 91.5 11.2% 24.5% vs RHP 405 18.3% 46.2% 18.4% 47
3 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 47 ⚪ D +700 · 100 0.195 95.3 12.3% 16.7% vs RHP 439 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 29
4 Jimmy Crooks Jimmy Crooks 38 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 145 0.156 91.7 9.8% 14.3% vs RHP 374 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 16
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 37 ⚪ D +750 · 150 0.167 89.6 8.7% 17.2% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 38
6 Nathan Church Nathan Church 36 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 160 0.133 85.8 10.0% 25.0% vs RHP 387 7.0% 0.0% 7.2% 19
7 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 35 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 164 0.137 90.3 9.3% 17.0% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 37
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 203 0.078 87.4 5.8% 10.0% vs RHP 379 2.9% 0.0% 6.7% 37
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy RHP
1.31 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.50 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 50 🟠 C +525 · 78 0.160 93.4 11.7% 18.5% vs RHP 413 10.8% 16.7% 16.4% 31
2 Michael Massey Michael Massey 49 ⚪ D +750 · 88 0.205 91.1 9.0% 11.8% vs RHP 398 9.5% 11.1% 11.3% 34
3 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 48 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 93 0.177 91.0 9.0% 18.8% vs RHP 382 13.2% 18.2% 11.2% 39
4 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 42 ⚪ D +750 🔥 HOT 124 0.124 87.2 7.0% 18.2% vs RHP 413 15.8% 33.3% 13.5% 29
5 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.143 87.3 7.7% 8.3% vs RHP 381 4.8% 0.0% 7.6% 23
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 191 0.081 88.5 7.9% 6.7% vs RHP 377 4.8% 0.0% 6.7% 35
🏟️
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