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CLE
@
8:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 8:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.98×
Wind 6 mph in
93°F
retractable
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
12:10a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.28
93°F, wind 6 mph S (in) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.256 | 90.5 | 11.0% | 31.2% vs RHP | 390 | 22.2% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 52 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.177 | 87.0 | 8.8% | 21.3% vs RHP | 367 | 11.4% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 49 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.138 | 89.9 | 11.6% | 15.6% vs RHP | 415 | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Meyers | 42 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.119 | 85.8 | 8.6% | 12.5% vs RHP | 400 | 10.3% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 39 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.136 | 86.4 | 6.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 408 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 34 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 170 | 0.112 | 87.5 | 6.0% | 11.8% vs RHP | 380 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 32 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.075 | 89.4 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 11 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 51 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.159 | 89.0 | 10.2% | 20.6% vs RHP | 388 | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Rhys Hoskins | 51 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.183 | 88.2 | 9.7% | 17.6% vs RHP | 379 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Travis Bazzana | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.186 | 88.5 | 5.9% | 14.8% vs RHP | 396 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Gabriel Arias | 50 | 🟠 C | +800 | ❄ COLD | 79 | 0.162 | 94.0 | 10.6% | 40.0% vs RHP | 383 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 5 |
| 5 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 48 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.156 | 87.7 | 7.9% | 15.6% vs RHP | 398 | 8.2% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 152 | 0.129 | 86.5 | 5.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | 382 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 35 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 167 | 0.078 | 89.6 | 7.9% | 5.0% vs RHP | 407 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Steven Kwan ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.046 | 83.1 | 2.1% | 2.4% vs RHP | 381 | 1.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 28 |