10
HRs allowed
11.9%
HR rate (pool)
27.1%
Overall HR/FB
5.41
FIP
4.6
xFIP
+0.82
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
96
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 96th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
67.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.0 EV · 393 ft
max EV allowed 112.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tatsuya Imai.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slider Breaking
44.8%
81.0
11.9°
6
-0.4
Fastball Hard
43.3%
83.7
26.7°
2
+0.4
Sinker Hard
6.0%
80.9
12.4°
0
-1.9
Splitter Offspeed
4.0%
0.0
nan°
0
+2.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups84
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate11.9%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB27.1% 96
HR/9—
FIP5.41 87
xFIP4.6
FIP − xFIP+0.82 85
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed67.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-15
Slider
Breaking · 44.8% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.9°
HRs allowed6
Pitches458
Fastball
Hard · 43.3% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle26.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches443
Sinker
Hard · 6.0% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle12.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches61
Splitter
Offspeed · 4.0% usage
+2.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against0.0 mph
Avg launch anglenan°
HRs allowed0
Pitches41
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tatsuya Imai.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.0 EV · 393 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-07
8
1
111.4
2026-07-01
9
3
112.6
2026-06-25
9
1
106.0
2026-06-19
8
1
102.4
2026-06-12
5
0
106.6
2026-06-06
9
0
108.9
2026-05-31
9
1
109.3
2026-05-25
9
0
105.4
2026-05-18
9
1
112.3
2026-05-12
9
2
105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tatsuya Imai isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.