2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs
TI

Tatsuya Imai

RHP HOU
84 matchups scored · 10 game days
10
HRs allowed
11.9%
HR rate (pool)
27.1%
Overall HR/FB
5.41
FIP
4.6
xFIP
+0.82
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 96
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
96
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 96th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
67.9%
67.9%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.0 EV · 393 ft max EV allowed 112.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-12 · 2 HR 2026-05-18 · 1 HR 2026-05-31 · 1 HR 2026-06-19 · 1 HR 2026-06-25 · 1 HR 2026-07-01 · 3 HR 2026-07-07 · 1 HR
7D · 4 HR ↑ 15D · 5 HR ↑ 30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tatsuya Imai.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slider Breaking 44.8% 81.0 11.9° 6 -0.4
Fastball Hard 43.3% 83.7 26.7° 2 +0.4
Sinker Hard 6.0% 80.9 12.4° 0 -1.9
Splitter Offspeed 4.0% 0.0 nan° 0 +2.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups84
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate11.9%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB27.1% 96
HR/9
FIP5.41 87
xFIP4.6
FIP − xFIP+0.82 85
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed67.9%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-15
Slider
Breaking · 44.8% usage
-0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.9°
HRs allowed6
Pitches458
Fastball
Hard · 43.3% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle26.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches443
Sinker
Hard · 6.0% usage
-1.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle12.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches61
Splitter
Offspeed · 4.0% usage
+2.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against0.0 mph
Avg launch anglenan°
HRs allowed0
Pitches41
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tatsuya Imai.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.0 EV · 393 ft 6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-07 James Wood #2 72 Nationals Park 111.4 24.0° 419
2026-07-01 Kody Clemens #39 57 Minute Maid Park 104.0 25.0° 399
2026-07-01 Josh Bell #103 47 Minute Maid Park 112.6 26.0° 452
2026-07-01 Luke Keaschall #212 31 Minute Maid Park 96.7 31.0° 373
2026-06-25 Dillon Dingler #8 67 Comerica Park 103.3 31.0° 432
2026-06-19 Rhys Hoskins #97 48 Minute Maid Park 100.8 30.0° 376
2026-05-31 Jake Bauers #28 69 Minute Maid Park 100.4 35.0° 347
2026-05-18 Josh Bell #119 44 Target Field 104.0 26.0° 381.0
2026-05-12 Dominic Canzone #34 45 Minute Maid Park 105.5 25.0° 381.0
2026-05-12 Randy Arozarena #60 41 Minute Maid Park 101.7 34.0° 369.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-07 Nationals Park 8 1 111.4
2026-07-01 Minute Maid Park 9 3 112.6
2026-06-25 Comerica Park 9 1 106.0
2026-06-19 Minute Maid Park 8 1 102.4
2026-06-12 Kauffman Stadium 5 0 106.6
2026-06-06 Minute Maid Park 9 0 108.9
2026-05-31 Minute Maid Park 9 1 109.3
2026-05-25 Globe Life Field 9 0 105.4
2026-05-18 Target Field 9 1 112.3
2026-05-12 Minute Maid Park 9 2 105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tatsuya Imai isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Tatsuya Imai's full pitcher profile is waiting

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84 more waiting in the on-deck circle
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