2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SD
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Globe Life Field

First pitch 8:05p · roof retractable
Park 0.94× Wind 5 mph in 72°F retractable
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
12:05a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.94

72°F, wind 5 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom RHP
1.55 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.63 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 61 🔵 C+ +950 🌧️ COOL 37 0.306 88.0 12.4% 37.5% vs RHP 402 0.0% 0.0% 30.9% 16
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 51 🟠 C +525 ❄ COLD 73 0.223 89.1 8.9% 32.4% vs RHP 394 12.5% 9.1% 17.5% 30
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 47 ⚪ D +475 · 101 0.177 89.9 9.2% 25.7% vs RHP 396 16.4% 8.3% 11.8% 41
4 Ty France Ty France 45 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 108 0.177 91.2 10.1% 27.8% vs RHP 395 11.1% 0.0% 12.1% 18
5 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 44 ⚪ D +700 · 114 0.146 90.2 10.0% 13.3% vs RHP 407 12.1% 16.7% 9.2% 41
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 34 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 169 0.116 87.9 8.0% 20.0% vs RHP 395 10.8% 0.0% 8.2% 24
7 Samad Taylor Samad Taylor 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.114 83.7 6.2% 33.3% 407 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 24
Randy Vásquez
Randy Vásquez RHP
1.61 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.51 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 58 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 44 0.216 91.6 11.5% 22.5% vs RHP 387 14.3% 11.1% 13.1% 24
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 55 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 57 0.191 89.9 11.2% 25.0% vs RHP 396 13.6% 9.1% 19.5% 29
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 48 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 97 0.156 92.2 11.9% 14.0% vs RHP 411 9.0% 0.0% 8.5% 37
4 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 47 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 102 0.137 88.6 9.2% 4.8% vs RHP 383 9.1% 30.0% 12.7% 35
5 Josh Jung Josh Jung 44 ⚪ D +750 · 113 0.149 89.9 8.5% 16.7% vs RHP 387 11.9% 8.3% 9.9% 40
6 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 43 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 123 0.146 89.5 8.7% 11.5% vs RHP 370 9.4% 9.1% 9.0% 28
7 Nicky Lopez Nicky Lopez 20 ⚪ D +950 · 210 0.073 82.4 · 12.5% vs RHP 397 7.7% 0.0% 7.0% 20
8 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 12 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 216 0.019 87.7 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 10
🏟️
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