SD
@
8:05p
TEX
Stadium Conditions
Globe Life Field
First pitch 8:05p
· roof retractable
Park 0.94×
Wind 5 mph in
72°F
retractable
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
12:05a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.94
72°F, wind 5 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Rodolfo Duran | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.306 | 88.0 | 12.4% | 37.5% vs RHP | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 30.9% | 16 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 51 | 🟠 C | +525 | ❄ COLD | 73 | 0.223 | 89.1 | 8.9% | 32.4% vs RHP | 394 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 47 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 101 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 25.7% vs RHP | 396 | 16.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Ty France | 45 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.177 | 91.2 | 10.1% | 27.8% vs RHP | 395 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 44 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 114 | 0.146 | 90.2 | 10.0% | 13.3% vs RHP | 407 | 12.1% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.116 | 87.9 | 8.0% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Samad Taylor | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.114 | 83.7 | 6.2% | 33.3% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Joc Pederson | 58 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.216 | 91.6 | 11.5% | 22.5% vs RHP | 387 | 14.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 55 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.191 | 89.9 | 11.2% | 25.0% vs RHP | 396 | 13.6% | 9.1% | 19.5% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 48 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.156 | 92.2 | 11.9% | 14.0% vs RHP | 411 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 47 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 102 | 0.137 | 88.6 | 9.2% | 4.8% vs RHP | 383 | 9.1% | 30.0% | 12.7% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 44 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 113 | 0.149 | 89.9 | 8.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 387 | 11.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 43 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.146 | 89.5 | 8.7% | 11.5% vs RHP | 370 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Nicky Lopez | 20 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 210 | 0.073 | 82.4 | · | 12.5% vs RHP | 397 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 12 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.019 | 87.7 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 10 |