2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.95× Wind 4 mph in 86°F open
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
7:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.14

86°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Martín Pérez
Martín Pérez LHP
0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 69 🔵 C+ +400 🌧️ COOL 15 0.262 92.1 10.2% 60.0% vs LHP 395 21.2% 50.0% 36.1% 45
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 53 🟠 C +950 🌧️ COOL 63 0.208 90.9 8.1% 12.5% vs LHP 406 11.6% 27.3% 19.8% 31
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 48 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 92 0.168 92.5 10.1% 20.0% 422 7.7% 18.2% 15.1% 28
4 William Contreras William Contreras 40 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 136 0.140 89.8 7.2% 11.8% vs LHP 420 9.1% 18.2% 8.1% 39
5 Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 39 ⚪ D +525 · 139 0.193 89.4 4.9% 22.2% vs LHP 412 6.7% 0.0% 12.4% 26
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 38 ⚪ D +850 · 146 0.144 89.0 7.0% 22.7% 399 7.9% 10.0% 9.3% 31
7 Blake Perkins Blake Perkins 36 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 158 0.092 86.7 6.0% 14.3% vs LHP 399 11.1% 33.3% 12.8% 9
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 211 0.052 87.3 4.7% 0.0% vs LHP 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 25
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
0.39 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.40 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 58 🟠 C +305 · 45 0.289 93.5 6.2% 32.6% vs RHP 409 23.3% 15.4% 27.3% 30
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 50 🟠 C +400 🌧️ COOL 77 0.240 92.5 7.1% 26.1% vs RHP 407 23.1% 0.0% 18.6% 5
3 Eli White Eli White 45 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 106 0.194 87.6 4.3% 25.0% vs RHP 366 22.2% 33.3% 14.7% 16
4 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 37 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 151 0.171 90.3 5.3% 18.2% vs RHP 399 14.3% 0.0% 9.5% 10
5 Austin Riley Austin Riley 35 ⚪ D +525 · 165 0.167 91.2 5.3% 14.3% vs RHP 409 8.3% 0.0% 8.8% 24
6 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.145 88.8 4.3% 14.6% vs RHP 390 8.6% 9.1% 7.8% 29
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 30 ⚪ D +575 · 187 0.152 87.1 3.5% 12.8% vs RHP 390 12.3% 0.0% 8.0% 32
8 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 27 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 195 0.144 86.6 4.1% 15.2% vs RHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 33
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 27 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 197 0.136 90.5 3.2% 14.3% vs RHP 374 6.5% 0.0% 7.3% 18
🏟️
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