PIT
@
8:40p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 8:40p
· roof open
Park 1.15×
Wind 4 mph cross
80°F
open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.26
80°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 81 | 🟢 A | +320 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.287 | 91.0 | 10.9% | 39.5% vs RHP | 404 | 26.6% | 41.7% | 33.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Sterlin Thompson | 56 | 🟠 C | +650 | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.161 | 87.1 | 5.8% | 28.6% vs RHP | 396 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 23.9% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 50 | 🟠 C | +750 | ❄ COLD | 76 | 0.191 | 84.7 | 6.9% | 20.0% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.2% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Karros | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.129 | 89.3 | 7.4% | 15.0% vs RHP | 404 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 46 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 104 | 0.133 | 88.0 | 7.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 422 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 44 | ⚪ D | +600 | · | 112 | 0.118 | 88.6 | 6.5% | 10.3% vs RHP | 422 | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 42 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 126 | 0.150 | 84.9 | 6.2% | 12.9% vs RHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Freeman ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.101 | 87.7 | 3.2% | 5.0% vs RHP | 369 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 17 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 77 | 🟡 B | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.265 | 89.9 | 10.7% | 22.2% vs LHP | 392 | 17.7% | 27.3% | 28.3% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 19 | 0.189 | 91.3 | 9.9% | 29.4% vs LHP | 408 | 13.2% | 25.0% | 30.0% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.185 | 86.6 | 9.1% | 20.0% vs LHP | 391 | 11.5% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.179 | 90.0 | 7.9% | 21.4% vs LHP | 378 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 52 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.114 | 89.4 | 9.0% | 18.2% vs LHP | 414 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.067 | 85.8 | 5.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 389 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 190 | 0.050 | 83.1 | 2.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 410 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 36 |