2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 8:40p · roof open
Park 1.15× Wind 4 mph cross 80°F open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.26

80°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler RHP
1.05 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.30 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 81 🟢 A +320 🌤️ WARM 3 0.287 91.0 10.9% 39.5% vs RHP 404 26.6% 41.7% 33.2% 32
2 Sterlin Thompson Sterlin Thompson 56 🟠 C +650 🌤️ WARM 53 0.161 87.1 5.8% 28.6% vs RHP 396 16.7% 33.3% 23.9% 14
3 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 50 🟠 C +750 ❄ COLD 76 0.191 84.7 6.9% 20.0% vs RHP 406 0.0% 0.0% 23.2% 40
4 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 47 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 98 0.129 89.3 7.4% 15.0% vs RHP 404 7.3% 11.1% 8.2% 33
5 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 46 ⚪ D +900 · 104 0.133 88.0 7.7% 16.7% vs RHP 422 6.0% 8.3% 8.5% 25
6 Willi Castro Willi Castro 44 ⚪ D +600 · 112 0.118 88.6 6.5% 10.3% vs RHP 422 5.7% 10.0% 10.3% 36
7 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 42 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 126 0.150 84.9 6.2% 12.9% vs RHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 25
8 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 34 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 173 0.101 87.7 3.2% 5.0% vs RHP 369 3.8% 0.0% 7.0% 17
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland LHP 💥 Meltdown
2.02 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.06 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 77 🟡 B +390 🌧️ COOL 7 0.265 89.9 10.7% 22.2% vs LHP 392 17.7% 27.3% 28.3% 30
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 67 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 19 0.189 91.3 9.9% 29.4% vs LHP 408 13.2% 25.0% 30.0% 37
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 61 🔵 C+ +575 🌤️ WARM 38 0.185 86.6 9.1% 20.0% vs LHP 391 11.5% 18.2% 15.6% 32
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 61 🔵 C+ +575 🌧️ COOL 40 0.179 90.0 7.9% 21.4% vs LHP 378 18.2% 20.0% 14.9% 33
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 52 🟠 C +400 🌧️ COOL 68 0.114 89.4 9.0% 18.2% vs LHP 414 8.3% 14.3% 18.4% 12
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 35 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 166 0.067 85.8 5.2% 0.0% vs LHP 389 3.0% 0.0% 8.1% 38
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 190 0.050 83.1 2.8% 0.0% vs LHP 410 3.2% 0.0% 8.1% 36
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