BAL
@
10:10p
LAD
Stadium Conditions
Dodger Stadium
First pitch 10:10p
· roof open
Park 1.23×
Wind 10 mph out
71°F
open
+16
8 mph · out
81°F
10:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+16
8 mph · out
81°F
11:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+16
8 mph · out
81°F
12:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
+16
8 mph · out
81°F
1:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
+16
8 mph · out
81°F
2:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.72
71°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🔥 HOT | 1 | 0.247 | 93.8 | 14.0% | 23.3% vs RHP | 403 | 17.4% | 50.0% | 39.1% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 81 | 🟢 A | +290 | ❄ COLD | 4 | 0.253 | 90.2 | 13.5% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 19.3% | 23.1% | 32.9% | 45 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 71 | 🟡 B | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.198 | 90.6 | 11.7% | 18.0% vs RHP | 393 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 29.6% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Andy Pages | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.212 | 89.6 | 10.2% | 27.9% vs RHP | 390 | 16.9% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Mookie Betts | 57 | 🟠 C | +425 | · | 50 | 0.158 | 89.9 | 10.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 385 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 50 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 81 | 0.140 | 88.9 | 7.8% | 10.6% vs RHP | 400 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.116 | 89.7 | 8.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 3.9% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 17 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 75 | 🟡 B | +305 | · | 9 | 0.213 | 94.8 | 11.2% | 27.7% vs RHP | 398 | 18.9% | 30.8% | 36.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 23 | 0.183 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 13.0% vs RHP | 407 | 15.3% | 25.0% | 26.1% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.202 | 89.5 | 9.6% | 18.0% vs RHP | 389 | 19.4% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.201 | 91.5 | 11.2% | 24.3% vs RHP | 400 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.172 | 89.4 | 9.1% | 24.1% vs RHP | 391 | 11.6% | 33.3% | 20.8% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 35 | 0.202 | 89.4 | 9.6% | 16.1% vs RHP | 400 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.110 | 92.4 | 8.2% | 8.3% vs RHP | 393 | 4.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 43 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.131 | 87.2 | 6.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Ward | 42 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 127 | 0.094 | 89.5 | 7.1% | 4.7% vs RHP | 386 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 38 |