2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BOS
@ 10:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 10:10p · roof retractable
Park 0.88× Wind 3 mph slight_out 81°F retractable
+5
7 mph · out
87°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
7 mph · out
87°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
7 mph · out
87°F
12:10a
Boost for HR environment
+5
7 mph · out
87°F
1:10a
Boost for HR environment
+5
7 mph · out
87°F
2:10a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.97

81°F, wind 3 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez LHP
0.74 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.40 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 64 🔵 C+ +525 · 30 0.289 92.8 10.2% 26.7% 400 15.8% 36.4% 26.9% 34
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.256 90.7 10.5% 29.8% 385 19.2% 10.0% 16.4% 22
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 41 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 132 0.183 90.2 7.7% 33.3% vs LHP 410 18.2% 0.0% 11.4% 38
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 37 ⚪ D +370 🌤️ WARM 153 0.153 87.4 9.1% 8.3% vs LHP 390 13.5% 0.0% 8.8% 6
5 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.176 · 7.8% 16.7% vs LHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 9
6 Cole Young Cole Young 31 ⚪ D +950 · 182 0.129 88.1 6.0% 15.8% vs LHP 385 8.5% 15.4% 7.5% 51
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 30 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 189 0.119 87.8 5.8% 8.3% vs LHP 390 10.9% 15.4% 6.8% 40
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller RHP
1.03 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.06 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 57 🟠 C +400 🌧️ COOL 51 0.244 90.0 9.0% 37.9% vs RHP 402 20.6% 25.0% 32.3% 27
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 43 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 121 0.176 89.8 8.4% 37.9% vs RHP 396 15.9% 16.7% 14.8% 30
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 37 ⚪ D +390 · 154 0.157 89.8 8.1% 12.3% vs RHP 395 11.6% 8.3% 7.4% 33
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 37 ⚪ D +625 ❄ COLD 155 0.173 86.5 6.0% 16.2% vs RHP 370 10.4% 16.7% 11.5% 38
5 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 26 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 198 0.110 85.1 4.1% 10.0% vs RHP 394 4.7% 18.2% 12.7% 30
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.086 86.1 6.0% 2.9% vs RHP 388 4.1% 11.1% 5.9% 18
7 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.100 88.7 3.1% 3.6% vs RHP 393 4.5% 0.0% 5.3% 18
🏟️
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