2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATH RHB
Shea Langeliers

Shea Langeliers

RHB
ATH · 69 appearances tracked
15
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
21.7%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
27.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.265
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.253
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
94th pctile
91.6
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
85th pctile
11.4%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
85th pctile
22.4% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
89th pctile
416
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
96th pctile
22.4%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
25.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
24.6%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
96th pctile
43
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 15 HRs in 69 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
69
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
62
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
13
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
87%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#23.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
13 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-27 #12 Kevin Gausman Rogers Centre · · · 107.2 mph 414.0 ft
2026-03-28 #28 Dylan Cease Rogers Centre · · · 109.7 mph 420.0 ft
2026-04-20 #47 Emerson Hancock T-Mobile Park · · · 108.3 mph 432.0 ft
2026-04-21 #28 Luis Castillo T-Mobile Park · · · 108.7 mph 417.0 ft
2026-05-02 #12 Slade Cecconi Sutter Health Park · · · 107.8 mph 433.0 ft
2026-05-07 #42 Andrew Painter Citizens Bank Park · · · 108.4 mph 412.0 ft
2026-05-12 #8 Andre Pallante Sutter Health Park · · · 108.1 mph 448.0 ft
2026-05-25 #13 Luis Castillo Sutter Health Park · · · 104.1 mph 412.0 ft
2026-05-30 #26 Ryan Weathers Sutter Health Park · · · 109.2 mph 426 ft
2026-06-04 #9 Shota Imanaga Wrigley Field · · · 98.0 mph 358 ft
2026-06-08 #12 Kyle Harrison Las Vegas Ballpark · · ·
2026-06-12 #3 Seth Halvorsen Las Vegas Ballpark R/ ⚠️ 104.2 mph 450 ft
2026-06-18 #6 Ryan Johnson Sutter Health Park R/ ⚠️ 103.8 mph 430 ft
All Appearances
69 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-20 #15 Walbert Ureña R/R * 28.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #15 José Soriano R/R * 24.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #6 LAA Bullpen Proxy R/ 31.6% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-17 #22 Braxton Ashcraft R/R * 29.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 #12 Mitch Keller R/R * 26.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 #3 Jared Jones R/R * 25.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 #3 Kyle Freeland R/L * 46.5% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #3 COL Bullpen Proxy R/ 31.7% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-10 #6 Brandon Sproat R/R * 36.3% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-09 #6 Robert Gasser R/L * 38.4% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-08 #12 Kyle Harrison · 36.9% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-07 #4 Mike Burrows · 28.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #2 Tatsuya Imai · 33.0% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #20 Peter Lambert · 28.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-04 #9 Shota Imanaga · 19.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #13 Colin Rea · 19.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #12 Jameson Taillon · 23.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #26 Ryan Weathers · 26.2% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-29 #44 Carlos Rodón · 17.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-27 #16 Logan Gilbert · 23.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #14 Emerson Hancock · 21.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #13 Luis Castillo · 22.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-24 #61 Michael King · 16.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #35 Walker Buehler · 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #7 José Soriano · 16.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #14 Jack Kochanowicz · 27.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #12 Reid Detmers · 23.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #13 Walbert Ureña · 29.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #2 Trevor McDonald · 34.4% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #1 Tyler Mahle · 66.1% 🥇 S 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-14 #3 Michael McGreevy · 50.2% 🥇 S 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #3 Matthew Liberatore · 36.7% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #8 Andre Pallante · 38.2% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-10 #3 Chris Bassitt · 31.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #5 Shane Baz · 52.4% 🥇 S 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #5 Kyle Bradish · 47.1% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #42 Andrew Painter · 23.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-06 #48 Zack Wheeler · 19.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #15 Cristopher Sánchez · 30.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #9 Parker Messick · 34.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #12 Slade Cecconi · 20.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-01 #18 Joey Cantillo · 23.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #26 Noah Cameron · 22.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #38 Michael Wacha · 22.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #25 Kris Bubic · 35.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #131 Kumar Rocker · 24.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #113 MacKenzie Gore · 30.4% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #124 Nathan Eovaldi · 28.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #16 Logan Gilbert · 32.0% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #28 Luis Castillo · 18.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-20 #47 Emerson Hancock · 16.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-19 #18 Noah Schultz · 22.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #20 Erick Fedde · 21.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #24 Davis Martin · 22.7% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-16 #10 Jack Leiter · 23.6% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-14 #9 MacKenzie Gore · 32.4% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #8 Freddy Peralta · 34.2% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #26 Kodai Senga · 22.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #22 Clay Holmes · 25.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-09 #2 Ryan Weathers · 36.7% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #3 Will Warren · 33.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #4 Cam Schlittler · 31.7% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #9 Lance McCullers Jr. · 20.1% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #68 Chris Sale · 13.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-03-31 #136 José Suarez · 10.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-03-30 #16 Bryce Elder · 17.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #57 Eric Lauer · 15.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #28 Dylan Cease · 16.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-03-27 #12 Kevin Gausman · 16.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
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