CIN
@
7:05p
NYY
Stadium Conditions
Yankee Stadium
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.15×
Wind 13 mph in
82°F
open
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
7:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
8:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
9:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
10:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
11:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92
82°F, wind 13 mph NW (in) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 79 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.320 | 92.1 | 10.6% | 37.2% vs RHP | 388 | 24.6% | 25.0% | 34.5% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 70 | 🟡 B | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.252 | 87.3 | 9.2% | 28.6% vs RHP | 389 | 18.4% | 33.3% | 25.9% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Jones | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 18 | 0.260 | 97.4 | 5.2% | 40.0% vs RHP | 443 | 18.2% | 28.6% | 35.3% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 58 | 🟠 C | +330 | · | 46 | 0.199 | 89.3 | 7.4% | 12.3% vs RHP | 379 | 13.6% | 25.0% | 19.6% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Jasson Dominguez ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.283 | 90.7 | 4.3% | 60.0% vs RHP | 353 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37.4% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Ryan Mcmahon | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.141 | 90.7 | 8.7% | 21.2% vs RHP | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🔥 HOT | 149 | 0.113 | 86.8 | 5.9% | 0.0% vs RHP | 409 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | 🌧️ COOL | 36 | 0.306 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 33.3% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.229 | 89.1 | 8.7% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 17.5% | 0.0% | 16.5% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 57 | 🟠 C | +305 | · | 49 | 0.202 | 90.7 | 9.4% | 20.4% vs RHP | 395 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 56 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.192 | 89.5 | 8.9% | 14.6% vs RHP | 393 | 11.6% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Mclain | 44 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🔥 HOT | 109 | 0.163 | 88.7 | 7.9% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 44 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.133 | 90.7 | 8.0% | 15.2% vs RHP | 381 | 6.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 43 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 117 | 0.157 | 86.9 | 7.1% | 26.3% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.9% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 174 | 0.112 | 88.7 | 4.6% | 12.5% vs RHP | 381 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 32 |