2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CIN
@ 7:05p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Yankee Stadium

First pitch 7:05p · roof open
Park 1.15× Wind 13 mph in 82°F open
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
7:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
8:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
9:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
10:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
11:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92

82°F, wind 13 mph NW (in) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder RHP
0.54 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.65 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ben Rice Ben Rice 79 🟡 B +1000 🌧️ COOL 6 0.320 92.1 10.6% 37.2% vs RHP 388 24.6% 25.0% 34.5% 33
2 Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 70 🟡 B +330 🌧️ COOL 14 0.252 87.3 9.2% 28.6% vs RHP 389 18.4% 33.3% 25.9% 41
3 Spencer Jones Spencer Jones 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.260 97.4 5.2% 40.0% vs RHP 443 18.2% 28.6% 35.3% 14
4 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 58 🟠 C +330 · 46 0.199 89.3 7.4% 12.3% vs RHP 379 13.6% 25.0% 19.6% 39
5 Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez 57 🟠 C +400 🌤️ WARM 47 0.283 90.7 4.3% 60.0% vs RHP 353 0.0% 0.0% 37.4% 13
6 Ryan Mcmahon Ryan Mcmahon 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.141 90.7 8.7% 21.2% vs RHP 380 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 18
7 Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe 37 ⚪ D +525 🔥 HOT 149 0.113 86.8 5.9% 0.0% vs RHP 409 3.2% 0.0% 5.4% 24
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler RHP
0.49 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.57 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 61 🔵 C+ +320 🌧️ COOL 36 0.306 89.9 8.3% 33.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 27.1% 40
2 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 60 🔵 C+ +400 🌧️ COOL 42 0.229 89.1 8.7% 32.1% vs RHP 398 17.5% 0.0% 16.5% 18
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 57 🟠 C +305 · 49 0.202 90.7 9.4% 20.4% vs RHP 395 10.3% 16.7% 18.6% 34
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 56 🟠 C +525 🌧️ COOL 54 0.192 89.5 8.9% 14.6% vs RHP 393 11.6% 18.2% 22.4% 25
5 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 44 ⚪ D +500 🔥 HOT 109 0.163 88.7 7.9% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 18.6% 22
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 44 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 111 0.133 90.7 8.0% 15.2% vs RHP 381 6.8% 12.5% 9.8% 20
7 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 43 ⚪ D +850 · 117 0.157 86.9 7.1% 26.3% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 26
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 34 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 174 0.112 88.7 4.6% 12.5% vs RHP 381 4.3% 0.0% 9.2% 32
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