Slate · 2026-06-18

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2026-06-18

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK LAA Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.44 HR/FB 12.7% → #1 Nick Kurtz, #6 Shea Langeliers, #10 Tyler Soderstrom

📦 STACK Ryan Weathers FIP 4.52 HR/FB 29.8% → #2 Randal Grichuk, #3 Colson Montgomery, #11 Miguel Vargas

📦 STACK Bryan Hudson FIP 3.91 HR/FB 10.0% → #7 Spencer Jones, #8 Ben Rice

📦 STACK Parker Messick FIP 3.26 HR/FB 10.0% → #9 Jake Bauers, #13 Jackson Chourio

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Nick Kurtz (L)	90	-11.7	LAA Bullpen Proxy LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔥 A+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%18.2% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.44 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	81	+5.2	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/90.99 FIP3.89 IP629.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+83 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89.2°F Wind9.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+83 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
3	Shea Langeliers (R)	81	-12.3	LAA Bullpen Proxy LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.44 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Shea Langeliers — Home Run OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance430 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
4	·Randal Grichuk (R) ⁴	80	·	Ryan Weathers (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/90.88 FIP3.62 IP647.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-70 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-70 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 7 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3
5	Colson Montgomery (L) ²	79	+8.2	Ryan Weathers (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/90.88 FIP3.62 IP647.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3	Colson Montgomery — Home Run OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
6	·Ben Rice (L)	79	+9.8	Bryan Hudson (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.15 FIP4.48 IP641.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-33 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-33 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3
7	·Byron Buxton (R) ⁵	78	·	Jack Leiter (RHP) MIN @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.21 IP660.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96.0°F Wind4 mph E Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph E (in) — modifier: +3
8	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	74	+8.6	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.10 FIP3.69 IP656.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+74 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89.2°F Wind9.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+74 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3	Juan Soto — Home Run OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
9	Tyler Soderstrom (L)	72	-5.1	LAA Bullpen Proxy LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.44 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Tyler Soderstrom — Home Run OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo102.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance402 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
10	·Miguel Vargas (R) ²	72	+3.8	Ryan Weathers (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/90.88 FIP3.62 IP647.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-83 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-83 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3
11	·Jackson Chourio (R) ²	71	·	Parker Messick (LHP) CLE @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.02 IP672.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71.0°F Wind5.0 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note71°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0
12	·Jake Bauers (L) ³	70	·	Parker Messick (LHP) CLE @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.02 IP672.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · American Family Field mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71.0°F Wind5.0 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note71°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0
13	·Paul Goldschmidt (R) ²	70	·	Bryan Hudson (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV87.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.15 FIP4.48 IP641.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-81 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-81 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3
14	·Dominic Canzone (L) ³	69	·	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.26 IP659.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74.6°F Wind12.0 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note75°F, wind 12 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +2
15	·Spencer Jones (L)	67	+4.5	Bryan Hudson (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	2	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%4.7% Avg EV97.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.15 FIP4.48 IP641.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 4 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3
16	·Zack Gelof (R)	67	-8.2	LAA Bullpen Proxy LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.44 IP675.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	·Kody Clemens (L) ²	67	·	Jack Leiter (RHP) MIN @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.21 IP660.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96.0°F Wind4 mph E Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph E (in) — modifier: +3
18	·Jordan Walker (R) ⁵	65	+0.8	Noah Cameron (LHP) STL @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.50 IP660.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Kauffman Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.7°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	·Colt Emerson (L) ²	65	·	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV86.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.26 IP659.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74.6°F Wind12.0 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 6 HR Note75°F, wind 12 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +2
20	·Bryce Harper (L) ³	64	·	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/90.99 FIP3.89 IP629.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+64 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89.2°F Wind9.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
21	·Mike Trout (R) ²	63	·	Gage Jump (LHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP646.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	·Matt Olson (L) ²	62	·	Landen Roupp (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.03 FIP4.25 IP636.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+76 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind7.8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+76 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2
23	·Willson Contreras (R) ³	60	·	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.4×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP3.94 IP654.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.6°F Wind12.0 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note78°F, wind 12 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
24	·Jared Young (L) ²	60	·	Aaron Nola (RHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.10 FIP3.69 IP656.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+78 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89.2°F Wind9.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+78 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 4 HR Note89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
25	·Zach Neto (R) ³	59	-11.2	Gage Jump (LHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%5.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP646.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	·Alec Burleson (L) ³	58	+0.8	Noah Cameron (LHP) STL @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.50 IP660.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Kauffman Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.7°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note72°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27	·Pete Alonso (R)	57	·	Bryan Woo (RHP) BAL @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.97 FIP3.65 IP661.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+27 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74.6°F Wind12.0 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note75°F, wind 12 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +2
28	·Casey Schmitt (R) ³	57	·	Martín Pérez (LHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.01 FIP3.90 IP685.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+80 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.2°F Wind7.8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+80 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2
29	·Brandon Marsh (L) ³	56	·	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/90.99 FIP3.89 IP629.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+65 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89.2°F Wind9.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+65 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
30	·Jasson Dominguez (S)	56	+3.3	Bryan Hudson (LHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	2	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%3.5% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.15 FIP4.48 IP641.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.2°F Wind19.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note88°F, wind 19 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +3

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-18

16 HRs

37%

6 caught / 16 HRs

in top 50

#3 Colson Montgomery

39.0%

🟢

#6 Shea Langeliers

31.6%

🟡

#10 Tyler Soderstrom

29.5%

🟡

#12 Juan Soto

23.7%

🟡

#43 Jac Caglianone

18.5%

🟠

#50 Brooks Lee

15.9%

🟠

Missed

Ryan McMahon Kyle Manzardo Trevor Larnach Travis Bazzana David Fry +5 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-18

You saw the full board yesterday

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