2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BAL
@ 4:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 4:10p · roof retractable
Park 0.91× Wind 12 mph out 75°F retractable
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.10

75°F, wind 12 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
0.83 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.32 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 69 🔵 C+ · · 14 0.277 93.2 11.9% 32.4% vs RHP 403 16.1% 40.0% 26.2% 32
2 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 19 0.316 86.4 7.1% 55.6% vs RHP 370 21.4% 37.5% 31.3% 21
3 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.156 87.5 10.3% 13.6% vs RHP 390 13.7% 0.0% 10.0% 6
4 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 77 0.149 89.6 7.7% 20.0% vs RHP 394 9.5% 25.0% 15.0% 10
5 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.120 87.9 6.7% 11.1% vs RHP 387 8.6% 16.7% 6.5% 48
6 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.119 87.8 6.7% 17.5% vs RHP 390 11.1% 16.7% 8.0% 36
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
0.92 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.51 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 57 🟠 C · · 27 0.216 95.0 9.7% 27.7% vs RHP 398 19.2% 30.8% 22.1% 35
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 49 ⚪ D · · 51 0.205 91.9 9.9% 24.3% vs RHP 400 14.0% 11.1% 12.3% 27
3 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.173 86.5 9.8% 24.1% vs RHP 418 17.6% 23.1% 17.5% 27
4 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.196 89.3 8.1% 18.0% vs RHP 390 19.7% 15.4% 11.6% 38
5 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.206 90.0 8.4% 16.1% vs RHP 400 12.8% 11.1% 11.2% 30
6 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.162 89.1 10.4% 23.5% vs RHP 378 3.6% 10.0% 15.6% 25
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.112 92.6 6.8% 8.3% vs RHP 393 4.5% 16.7% 6.2% 25
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 26 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 124 0.095 89.7 5.9% 4.7% vs RHP 386 4.1% 7.7% 5.8% 40
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 125 0.123 86.8 5.6% 11.1% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 33
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