BAL
@
4:10p
SEA
Stadium Conditions
T-Mobile Park
First pitch 4:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.91×
Wind 12 mph out
75°F
retractable
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.10
75°F, wind 12 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 14 | 0.277 | 93.2 | 11.9% | 32.4% vs RHP | 403 | 16.1% | 40.0% | 26.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Colt Emerson | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.316 | 86.4 | 7.1% | 55.6% vs RHP | 370 | 21.4% | 37.5% | 31.3% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.156 | 87.5 | 10.3% | 13.6% vs RHP | 390 | 13.7% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 6 |
| 4 |
|
Mitch Garver | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.149 | 89.6 | 7.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 394 | 9.5% | 25.0% | 15.0% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Cole Young | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.120 | 87.9 | 6.7% | 11.1% vs RHP | 387 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 48 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.119 | 87.8 | 6.7% | 17.5% vs RHP | 390 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 36 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 27 | 0.216 | 95.0 | 9.7% | 27.7% vs RHP | 398 | 19.2% | 30.8% | 22.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 51 | 0.205 | 91.9 | 9.9% | 24.3% vs RHP | 400 | 14.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.173 | 86.5 | 9.8% | 24.1% vs RHP | 418 | 17.6% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.196 | 89.3 | 8.1% | 18.0% vs RHP | 390 | 19.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.206 | 90.0 | 8.4% | 16.1% vs RHP | 400 | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.162 | 89.1 | 10.4% | 23.5% vs RHP | 378 | 3.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.112 | 92.6 | 6.8% | 8.3% vs RHP | 393 | 4.5% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 124 | 0.095 | 89.7 | 5.9% | 4.7% vs RHP | 386 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.123 | 86.8 | 5.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 33 |