NYM
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.11×
Wind 9 mph slight_out
89°F
open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.45
89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 81 | 🟢 A | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.326 | 93.0 | 13.9% | 42.9% vs LHP | 403 | 26.9% | 15.4% | 38.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.231 | 90.3 | 11.0% | 13.0% vs LHP | 403 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 19.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.175 | 90.2 | 8.1% | 8.3% vs LHP | 391 | 10.6% | 30.8% | 22.6% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Derek Hill | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 45 | 0.140 | 89.8 | 9.0% | 36.4% vs LHP | 406 | 7.1% | 25.0% | 19.8% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 53 | 0.144 | 86.4 | 8.1% | 37.5% vs LHP | 398 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.142 | 89.9 | 6.2% | 18.2% vs LHP | 376 | 11.9% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Bryson Stott | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 58 | 0.160 | 89.6 | 8.0% | 14.3% vs LHP | 392 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.107 | 88.8 | 6.8% | 4.3% vs LHP | 394 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 36 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 74 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.252 | 93.0 | 12.2% | 29.7% vs RHP | 401 | 20.7% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.178 | 89.9 | 11.0% | 23.5% vs RHP | 401 | 13.3% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 36 | 0.178 | 94.1 | 10.1% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 39 | 0.133 | 86.2 | 9.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 391 | 11.3% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 50 | 0.125 | 91.1 | 8.3% | 8.5% vs RHP | 381 | 8.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Benge | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.121 | 89.9 | 9.1% | 11.6% vs RHP | 401 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.090 | 89.2 | 8.2% | 9.1% vs RHP | 415 | 4.4% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 23 |