2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
NYM
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.11× Wind 9 mph slight_out 89°F open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.45

89°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea LHP
1.11 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.03 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 81 🟢 A +575 🌧️ COOL 2 0.326 93.0 13.9% 42.9% vs LHP 403 26.9% 15.4% 38.3% 29
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 20 0.231 90.3 11.0% 13.0% vs LHP 403 18.8% 7.7% 19.0% 33
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 29 0.175 90.2 8.1% 8.3% vs LHP 391 10.6% 30.8% 22.6% 33
4 Derek Hill Derek Hill 51 🟠 C · · 45 0.140 89.8 9.0% 36.4% vs LHP 406 7.1% 25.0% 19.8% 10
5 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 53 0.144 86.4 8.1% 37.5% vs LHP 398 12.5% 16.7% 13.7% 18
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.142 89.9 6.2% 18.2% vs LHP 376 11.9% 25.0% 15.8% 38
7 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 47 ⚪ D · · 58 0.160 89.6 8.0% 14.3% vs LHP 392 9.4% 0.0% 13.4% 35
8 Trea Turner Trea Turner 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.107 88.8 6.8% 4.3% vs LHP 394 10.3% 0.0% 7.4% 36
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.73 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.87 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 74 🟡 B +1000 🌧️ COOL 8 0.252 93.0 12.2% 29.7% vs RHP 401 20.7% 16.7% 23.7% 37
2 Jared Young Jared Young 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.178 89.9 11.0% 23.5% vs RHP 401 13.3% 12.5% 18.7% 32
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 53 🟠 C · · 36 0.178 94.1 10.1% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 15
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 53 🟠 C · · 39 0.133 86.2 9.1% 16.7% vs RHP 391 11.3% 25.0% 17.6% 31
5 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 49 ⚪ D · · 50 0.125 91.1 8.3% 8.5% vs RHP 381 8.5% 16.7% 13.9% 40
6 Carson Benge Carson Benge 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.121 89.9 9.1% 11.6% vs RHP 401 6.9% 8.3% 9.4% 39
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 73 0.090 89.2 8.2% 9.1% vs RHP 415 4.4% 0.0% 9.0% 23
🏟️
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