SF
@
7:15p
ATL
Stadium Conditions
Truist Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.97×
Wind 8 mph out
74°F
open
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
7:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
10 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.16
74°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.297 | 93.5 | 7.2% | 32.6% vs RHP | 409 | 23.6% | 15.4% | 27.7% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 38 | 0.238 | 92.8 | 8.2% | 26.1% vs RHP | 402 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 18.7% | 3 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.168 | 90.8 | 6.1% | 14.3% vs RHP | 409 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.148 | 88.8 | 5.1% | 14.6% vs RHP | 390 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.156 | 87.0 | 4.0% | 12.8% vs RHP | 390 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 118 | 0.141 | 90.6 | 3.7% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.136 | 86.3 | 4.6% | 15.2% vs RHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 32 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.232 | 89.2 | 9.2% | 16.7% vs LHP | 393 | 17.4% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 42 | 0.192 | 89.0 | 7.9% | 10.0% vs LHP | 385 | 15.9% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 59 | 0.176 | 91.9 | 8.2% | 10.5% vs LHP | 401 | 11.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 68 | 0.166 | 88.3 | 7.0% | 22.2% vs LHP | 398 | 7.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.136 | 85.4 | 4.3% | 8.3% | 393 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.123 | 87.6 | 4.0% | 8.3% vs LHP | 363 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.114 | · | 1.7% | 5.0% vs LHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 51 |