2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CIN
@ 1:35p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Yankee Stadium

First pitch 1:35p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 6 mph out 81°F open
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
5:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25

81°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott LHP
1.31 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.15 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ben Rice Ben Rice 81 🟢 A · · 3 0.316 92.2 10.5% 55.6% vs LHP 390 25.8% 25.0% 42.8% 35
2 Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 13 0.245 87.1 8.9% 33.3% vs LHP 389 17.9% 33.3% 36.7% 39
3 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 43 0.196 89.2 7.3% 18.2% vs LHP 379 13.4% 25.0% 22.1% 40
4 Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 57 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 58 0.212 90.1 8.6% 16.7% vs LHP 403 7.1% 0.0% 15.7% 12
5 Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.263 90.5 4.1% 0.0% vs LHP 353 0.0% 0.0% 17.3% 16
6 Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 133 0.145 83.6 4.6% 30.0% vs LHP 371 0.0% 0.0% 21.0% 24
7 Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 139 0.125 87.3 5.8% 14.3% vs LHP 409 3.1% 0.0% 9.4% 23
Will Warren
Will Warren RHP
0.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.28 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.306 89.9 8.5% 33.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 34.1% 37
2 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 58 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 50 0.229 88.9 8.8% 32.1% vs RHP 398 17.1% 0.0% 19.2% 17
3 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 51 0.187 89.0 6.5% 50.0% vs RHP 429 13.0% 42.9% 27.6% 23
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 57 🟠 C · · 56 0.202 90.8 9.6% 19.6% vs RHP 395 10.2% 16.7% 15.5% 35
5 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 56 🟠 C · · 59 0.192 89.6 9.2% 14.3% vs RHP 393 11.4% 18.2% 20.1% 24
6 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 118 0.163 88.8 8.0% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 16.1% 23
7 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 179 0.112 88.4 4.6% 11.8% vs RHP 381 4.2% 0.0% 7.8% 31
8 Jose Trevino Jose Trevino 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 194 0.089 85.1 4.1% 16.7% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 6
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