2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

RHP SF
109 matchups scored · 13 game days
9
HRs allowed
8.3%
HR rate (pool)
23.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.79
FIP
3.46
xFIP
+0.32
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 92
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
92
no model flags today
Vulnerability 92th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
11.9%
11.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
60.0%
60.0%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.5 EV · 413 ft max EV allowed 114.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-11 · 1 HR 2026-05-16 · 1 HR 2026-06-02 · 1 HR 2026-06-13 · 2 HR 2026-07-12 · 1 HR 2026-07-20 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR ↑ 15D · 2 HR 30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Trevor McDonald.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 57.6% 86.1 7.5° 3 -0.6
Slider Breaking 25.9% 82.6 4.3° 2 -0.2
Changeup Offspeed 14.8% 77.2 6.4° 2 +2.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups109
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate8.3%
Pool HR/game day0.69
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB23.1% 92
HR/9
FIP3.79 39
xFIP3.46
FIP − xFIP+0.32 67
Barrel% allowed11.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed60.0%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Sinker
Hard · 57.6% usage
-0.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle7.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches666
Slider
Breaking · 25.9% usage
-0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches299
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.8% usage
+2.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.2 mph
Avg launch angle6.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches171
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Trevor McDonald.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 413 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-20 Salvador Perez #130 44 Kauffman Stadium 105.4 25.0° 440
2026-07-12 Jake McCarthy #178 36 Oracle Park 99.6 30.0° 387
2026-06-13 Ian Happ #70 53 Oracle Park 103.6 29.0° 404
2026-06-13 Pete Crow-Armstrong #92 49 Oracle Park 102.7 31.0° 385
2026-06-02 Jake Bauers #54 56 American Family Field 104.4 25.0° 412
2026-05-16 Brent Rooker #30 69 Sutter Health Park 109.5 32.0° 407.0
2026-05-11 Max Muncy #22 46 Dodger Stadium 104.1 30.0° 396.0
2026-05-04 Ramón Laureano #190 6 Oracle Park 106.3 29.0° 447.0
2026-05-04 Jackson Merrill #191 5 Oracle Park 105.2 24.0° 436.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-20 Kauffman Stadium 8 1 106.8
2026-07-12 Oracle Park 9 1 103.9
2026-07-07 Oracle Park 7 0 102.7
2026-07-01 Chase Field 7 0 107.6
2026-06-20 loanDepot Park 7 0 105.7
2026-06-13 Oracle Park 9 2 103.6
2026-06-07 Wrigley Field 8 0 102.5
2026-06-02 American Family Field 9 1 108.9
2026-05-27 Oracle Park 9 0 108.8
2026-05-22 Oracle Park 9 0 114.4
2026-05-16 Sutter Health Park 9 1 109.5
2026-05-11 Dodger Stadium 9 1 105.8
2026-05-04 Oracle Park 9 2 108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Trevor McDonald isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Trevor McDonald isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Oracle Park 52 5 10%
American Family Field 9 1 11%
Dodger Stadium 9 1 11%
Sutter Health Park 9 1 11%
Kauffman Stadium 8 1 12%
Wrigley Field 8 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 8. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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109 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Trevor McDonald

How many home runs has Trevor McDonald allowed this season?

Trevor McDonald has allowed 9 home runs across 13 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Trevor McDonald?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Trevor McDonald include Brent Rooker (1), Ezequiel Tovar (1), Ian Happ (1) and 7 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.166 · build 670

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