2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
WSH
@ 4:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 4:10p · roof unknown
Park 1.05× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.05

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour LHP
1.37 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.12 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 79 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 4 0.257 95.6 14.4% 31.2% vs LHP 408 28.1% 25.0% 36.5% 32
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 68 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.237 88.7 9.7% 21.7% vs LHP 400 19.4% 33.3% 26.3% 29
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 56 🟠 C · · 60 0.148 90.3 8.8% 14.3% vs LHP 409 22.2% 33.3% 14.9% 36
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 64 0.204 89.0 7.1% 20.0% vs LHP 378 17.4% 12.5% 13.2% 31
5 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 53 🟠 C · · 68 0.214 90.2 9.6% 12.5% vs LHP 391 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 35
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.163 87.6 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 403 8.9% 0.0% 9.2% 35
7 Jacob Young Jacob Young 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.154 89.1 7.5% 6.2% vs LHP 391 10.0% 0.0% 8.1% 24
8 Andres Chaparro Andres Chaparro 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 170 0.108 89.4 6.2% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 6
9 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 211 0.042 84.5 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 24
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli RHP
0.68 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.207 93.2 9.8% 32.4% vs RHP 406 20.3% 8.3% 15.0% 30
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 81 0.176 90.8 9.7% 22.6% vs RHP 391 14.9% 9.1% 11.9% 32
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.180 90.6 8.0% 25.0% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 41
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.109 88.1 5.2% 14.6% vs RHP 386 8.8% 8.3% 8.0% 27
5 Hunter Feduccia Hunter Feduccia 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 187 0.066 90.7 7.5% 7.7% vs RHP 421 4.8% 0.0% 7.2% 12
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.080 86.7 5.4% 5.6% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 20
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 206 0.063 83.7 4.4% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 24
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 214 0.057 83.9 · 5.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 24
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