14
HRs allowed
10.5%
HR rate (pool)
15.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.82
FIP
4.55
xFIP
+0.27
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
76
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 76th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
78.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.2 EV · 392 ft
max EV allowed 114.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 9 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Patrick Corbin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
27.6%
86.0
14.4°
4
+1.3
Slider Breaking
26.9%
77.6
15.0°
3
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
18.0%
76.0
8.6°
0
-1.2
Cutter Hard
15.1%
85.9
16.3°
2
+3.3
Fastball Hard
11.2%
80.2
26.2°
2
+1.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups133
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate10.5%
Pool HR/game day0.93
Top-15 matchups14
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB15.9% 76
HR/9—
FIP4.82 75
xFIP4.55
FIP − xFIP+0.27 64
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed78.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 27.6% usage
+1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.4°
HRs allowed4
Pitches367
Slider
Breaking · 26.9% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.6 mph
Avg launch angle15.0°
HRs allowed3
Pitches358
Changeup
Offspeed · 18.0% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.0 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches239
Cutter
Hard · 15.1% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle16.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches201
Fastball
Hard · 11.2% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.2 mph
Avg launch angle26.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches149
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Patrick Corbin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 392 ft
9 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-26
9
1
105.6
2026-06-20
9
2
109.0
2026-06-14
8
2
104.9
2026-06-08
8
1
105.6
2026-06-03
9
2
107.6
2026-05-28
9
1
112.9
2026-05-23
9
0
113.7
2026-05-18
9
2
110.0
2026-05-12
9
0
114.6
2026-05-06
9
0
108.9
2026-05-01
9
1
109.3
2026-04-26
9
0
101.3
2026-04-21
9
0
109.4
2026-04-16
9
0
109.5
2026-04-10
9
2
108.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Patrick Corbin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.