BAL
@
10:10p
LAD
Stadium Conditions
Dodger Stadium
First pitch 10:10p
· roof open
Park 1.22×
Wind 7 mph out
70°F
open
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
10:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
11:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
12:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
1:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
2:10a
Strong boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.46
70°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 77 | 🟡 B | +235 | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.247 | 93.8 | 10.8% | 25.0% vs LHP | 403 | 17.1% | 50.0% | 32.9% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.253 | 90.4 | 10.4% | 27.8% vs LHP | 408 | 20.0% | 30.8% | 36.1% | 50 |
| 3 |
|
Andy Pages | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 36 | 0.212 | 89.6 | 7.8% | 15.0% vs LHP | 390 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 39 | 0.198 | 90.7 | 9.0% | 16.7% vs LHP | 393 | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Mookie Betts | 52 | 🟠 C | +390 | · | 73 | 0.158 | 89.9 | 7.6% | 10.0% vs LHP | 385 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 45 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 117 | 0.140 | 88.9 | 6.0% | 6.7% vs LHP | 400 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.116 | 89.6 | 6.8% | 16.7% vs LHP | 373 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 19 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.211 | 94.6 | 9.0% | 28.6% vs RHP | 397 | 20.0% | 38.5% | 33.0% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.200 | 89.5 | 7.9% | 19.2% vs RHP | 388 | 20.5% | 23.1% | 26.7% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 57 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.198 | 91.6 | 9.0% | 24.3% vs RHP | 400 | 13.5% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 62 | 0.183 | 91.5 | 8.3% | 12.5% vs RHP | 407 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 70 | 0.172 | 89.3 | 7.2% | 23.3% vs RHP | 391 | 11.4% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 75 | 0.198 | 89.4 | 7.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 400 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.108 | 92.4 | 6.7% | 7.7% vs RHP | 393 | 4.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 36 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 165 | 0.093 | 89.6 | 5.7% | 4.7% vs RHP | 386 | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 36 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 166 | 0.128 | 87.1 | 5.5% | 10.3% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 30 |