2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:10p
COL
Coors Field · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 9:10p · roof open
Park 1.14× Wind 4 mph cross 81°F open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:10a
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
1:10a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25

81°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.65 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.51 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 82 🟢 A +225 · 2 0.265 90.1 13.4% 27.5% vs RHP 392 17.5% 27.3% 36.2% 30
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 69 🔵 C+ +350 🔥 HOT 17 0.189 91.4 12.2% 15.6% vs RHP 408 13.0% 25.0% 24.3% 35
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 63 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 32 0.185 86.4 11.2% 17.3% vs RHP 391 11.3% 18.2% 17.2% 34
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 63 🔵 C+ +390 🌧️ COOL 33 0.179 89.9 9.6% 20.5% vs RHP 378 17.8% 18.2% 16.3% 36
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 67 0.114 89.4 11.0% 14.8% vs RHP 414 8.2% 14.3% 15.0% 11
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 37 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 160 0.067 85.9 6.4% 7.1% vs RHP 389 3.0% 0.0% 7.9% 39
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.050 83.1 3.4% 9.1% vs RHP 410 3.1% 0.0% 9.1% 36
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.84 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.03 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 75 🟡 B +320 · 9 0.287 90.9 10.0% 37.8% vs RHP 404 26.2% 33.3% 41.1% 33
2 Sterlin Thompson Sterlin Thompson 51 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 76 0.161 87.4 6.4% 25.0% vs RHP 396 14.3% 33.3% 21.2% 11
3 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 44 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 120 0.191 84.5 6.2% 21.1% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 24.1% 42
4 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 41 ⚪ D +625 ❄ COLD 143 0.133 87.8 6.9% 16.7% vs RHP 422 5.9% 8.3% 10.6% 25
5 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 40 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 151 0.150 84.7 5.6% 12.5% vs RHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 25
6 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 38 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 157 0.151 89.2 4.0% 10.3% vs RHP 415 1.9% 12.5% 9.8% 32
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 38 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 158 0.118 88.7 5.8% 10.0% vs RHP 422 5.6% 10.0% 9.5% 36
8 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 35 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 168 0.103 91.2 6.3% 11.5% vs RHP 389 3.3% 0.0% 8.6% 18
🏟️
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