Slate · 2026-06-10

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2026-06-10

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 7 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Kyle Schwarber vs Max Scherzer FIP 7.36 HR/FB 33.3% #3 Ian Happ vs Michael Lorenzen FIP 5.43 HR/FB 34.6% #6 Shea Langeliers vs Brandon Sproat FIP 5.51 HR/FB 28.0% #8 Brent Rooker vs Brandon Sproat FIP 5.51 HR/FB 28.0% #9 Bryce Harper vs Max Scherzer FIP 7.36 HR/FB 33.3% #11 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Michael Lorenzen FIP 5.43 HR/FB 34.6% #15 Brandon Marsh vs Max Scherzer FIP 7.36 HR/FB 33.3%

📦 STACK Max Scherzer FIP 7.36 HR/FB 33.3% → #2 Kyle Schwarber, #9 Bryce Harper, #15 Brandon Marsh

📦 STACK Michael Lorenzen FIP 5.43 HR/FB 34.6% → #3 Ian Happ, #11 Pete Crow-Armstrong

📦 STACK Brandon Sproat FIP 5.51 HR/FB 18.2% → #4 Nick Kurtz, #6 Shea Langeliers, #8 Brent Rooker, #13 Tyler Soderstrom

📦 STACK Brandon Young FIP 4.34 HR/FB 13.8% → #5 Dominic Canzone, #10 Luke Raley

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	89	+11.1	Max Scherzer (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%17.2% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP3.85 IP589.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	Kyle Schwarber — Home Run OffMason Fluharty Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance423 ft StadiumRogers Centre
2	·Hunter Goodman (R)	85	-4.2	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.9% HR/91.52 FIP4.64 IP611.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87.0°F Wind8.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4
3	Ian Happ (S) ⁴	82	-1.9	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟢 A	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87.0°F Wind8.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4	Ian Happ — Home Run OffAntonio Senzatela Exit Velo98.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance424 ft StadiumCoors Field
4	·Nick Kurtz (L) ⁵	81	-19.2	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	9:05p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.7% HR/90.83 FIP3.48 IP588.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	·Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	80	-16.8	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	9:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.7% HR/90.83 FIP3.48 IP588.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
6	·Dillon Dingler (R) ³	80	+7.9	Mike Paredes (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.16 IP617.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+41 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.0°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
7	·Dominic Canzone (L) ⁵	78	·	Brandon Young (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.13 IP597.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.1°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
8	·Luke Raley (L)	78	·	Brandon Young (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.13 IP597.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.1°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
9	·Brent Rooker (R) ⁴	73	·	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	9:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.7% HR/90.83 FIP3.48 IP588.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Bryce Harper (L) ³	73	+4.9	Max Scherzer (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP3.85 IP589.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	Bryce Harper — Home Run OffMax Scherzer Exit Velo99.8 mph Angle42.0° Distance339 ft StadiumRogers Centre
11	·Tyler Soderstrom (L) ⁵	72	-11.9	Brandon Sproat (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	9:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.7% HR/90.83 FIP3.48 IP588.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
12	Byron Buxton (R) ²	72	-3.3	Framber Valdez (LHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.94 FIP3.86 IP605.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+41 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.0°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2	Byron Buxton — Home Run OffFramber Valdez Exit Velo107.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance413 ft StadiumComerica Park
13	James Wood (L) ²	72	·	Robbie Ray (LHP) WSH @ SF · Oracle Park	3:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%16.9% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.04 FIP4.29 IP596.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp74.7°F Wind11.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4	James Wood — Home Run OffRobbie Ray Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle33.0° Distance405 ft StadiumOracle Park
14	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	71	-11.4	Jack Perkins (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	9:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.39 FIP4.83 IP587.8000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	·Kerry Carpenter (L) ³	71	+5.0	Mike Paredes (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.16 IP617.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+31 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.0°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
16	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	69	-7.0	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87.0°F Wind8.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4
17	·Ben Rice (L) ³	67	·	Parker Messick (LHP) NYY @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.20 FIP4.00 IP629.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85.7°F Wind7.5 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SW (in) — modifier: +1
18	Jordan Walker (R) ²	67	·	Austin Warren (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.88 FIP3.75 IP560.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+40 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2	Jordan Walker — Home Run OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance401 ft StadiumCiti Field
19	·Matt Olson (L) ³	66	+5.8	Davis Martin (RHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.39 IP588.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	·Julio Rodríguez (R) ³	65	·	Brandon Young (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.13 IP597.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.1°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
21	·Corbin Carroll (L) ³	65	·	Ryan Gusto (RHP) AZ @ MIA · loanDepot Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.5% HR/90.95 FIP3.95 IP607.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
22	·Max Muncy (S) ⁴	65	·	Jared Jones (RHP) LAD @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/90.87 FIP3.78 IP611.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +2
23	·Randal Grichuk (R)	65	+2.6	Chris Sale (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.99 FIP3.81 IP639.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
24	·Juan Soto (L) ⁴	64	+4.3	Andre Pallante (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.23 IP572.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2
25	·Dalton Rushing (L) ³	64	·	Jared Jones (RHP) LAD @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/90.87 FIP3.78 IP611.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +2
26	·Willson Contreras (R) ³	63	·	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.4×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.13 IP603.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
27	·Brandon Marsh (L) ³	62	·	Max Scherzer (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.08 FIP3.85 IP589.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
28	·Brandon Valenzuela (S) ³	62	·	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.08 FIP3.66 IP598.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29	·Miguel Vargas (R) ³	62	+1.8	Chris Sale (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.99 FIP3.81 IP639.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	62	·	Jared Jones (RHP) LAD @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/90.87 FIP3.78 IP611.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind5.0 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	Shohei Ohtani — Home Run OffGregory Soto Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance412 ft StadiumPNC Park

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 232 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-10

32 HRs

31%

10 caught / 32 HRs

in top 50

#2 Kyle Schwarber

43.3%

🟢

#3 Ian Happ

45.2%

🟢

#9 Bryce Harper

24.1%

🟡

#14 Byron Buxton

23.8%

🟡

#17 JJ Bleday

26.8%

🔵

#20 James Wood

21.0%

🔵

#24 Jordan Walker

17.8%

🔵

#31 Shohei Ohtani

21.2%

🔵

#34 Mike Trout

15.7%

🔵

#49 Pete Alonso

21.1%

🟠

Missed

Curtis Mead Alec Bohm Alec Burleson Spencer Steer Owen Caissie +17 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-10

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.