Slate · 2026-06-11

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2026-06-11

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#1 Hunter Goodman vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.49 HR/FB 40.0%

📦 STACK Ryan Feltner FIP 4.52 HR/FB 18.2% → #2 Ian Happ, #10 Pete Crow-Armstrong

📦 STACK Zebby Matthews FIP 4.6 HR/FB 20.0% → #4 Dillon Dingler, #15 Kerry Carpenter

📦 STACK Kyle Bradish FIP 4.27 HR/FB 13.8% → #5 Dominic Canzone, #7 Luke Raley, #8 Colt Emerson, #12 Julio Rodríguez

📦 STACK Martín Pérez FIP 4.03 HR/FB 15.4% → #13 Miguel Vargas, #14 Colson Montgomery

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	90	·	Edward Cabrera (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔥 A+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.9% HR/91.53 FIP4.69 IP619.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+46 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3
2	·Ian Happ (S) ²	81	·	Ryan Feltner (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟢 A	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP609.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3
3	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁵	78	·	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.23 IP624.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
4	·Byron Buxton (R) ²	78	·	Keider Montero (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.98 FIP3.93 IP613.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
5	Luke Raley (L) ³	78	+9.9	Kyle Bradish (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP606.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+45 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5	Luke Raley — Home Run OffKyle Bradish Exit Velo92.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance388 ft StadiumCamden Yards
6	·Matt Olson (L) ⁵	77	·	Anthony Kay (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.42 IP598.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	76	·	Kyle Bradish (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP606.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+45 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5	Dominic Canzone — Home Run OffKyle Bradish Exit Velo101.6 mph Angle27.0° Distance401 ft StadiumCamden Yards
8	·Esteury Ruiz (R) ²	71	·	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	4	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV87.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.29 FIP4.53 IP605.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
9	·Kerry Carpenter (L) ³	70	·	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.23 IP624.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+14 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
10	·Colt Emerson (L) ²	68	·	Kyle Bradish (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%6.8% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP606.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+45 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5
11	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	67	·	Ryan Feltner (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP609.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3
12	·Randal Grichuk (R)	67	·	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.85 IP648.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	67	·	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%15.8% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.02 FIP4.18 IP581.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Citi Field hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.3°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3	Juan Soto — Home Run OffJoJo Romero Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle30.0° Distance398 ft StadiumCiti Field
14	·Miguel Vargas (R) ²	65	·	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.85 IP648.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	·Colson Montgomery (L) ³	65	·	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.85 IP648.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	·Corbin Carroll (L) ³	64	·	Tyler Phillips (RHP) AZ @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.96 FIP3.97 IP620.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
17	·Julio Rodríguez (R) ²	63	+2.8	Kyle Bradish (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP606.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5
18	·Kody Clemens (L)	63	·	Keider Montero (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.98 FIP3.93 IP613.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+14 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
19	·Jorge Mateo (R) ³	61	·	Anthony Kay (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.42 IP598.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Jared Young (L) ³	61	·	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.02 FIP4.18 IP581.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Citi Field hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.3°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3	Jared Young — Home Run OffHunter Dobbins Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle22.0° Distance390 ft StadiumCiti Field
21	Pete Alonso (R)	60	+3.8	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.60 IP613.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5	Pete Alonso — Home Run OffBryan Woo Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance439 ft StadiumCamden Yards
22	·Ezequiel Tovar (R) ³	59	·	Edward Cabrera (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	5	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.9% HR/91.53 FIP4.69 IP619.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+46 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3
23	·Coby Mayo (R)	59	+3.0	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.60 IP613.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5
24	·Owen Caissie (L) ³	59	·	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.29 FIP4.53 IP605.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
25	Seiya Suzuki (R) ²	58	·	Ryan Feltner (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP609.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3	Seiya Suzuki — Home Run OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle23.0° Distance400 ft StadiumCoors Field
26	Colton Cowser (L) ²	58	+4.2	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV85.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.60 IP613.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+45 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5	Colton Cowser — Home Run OffBryan Woo Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle25.0° Distance416 ft StadiumCamden Yards
27	·Jordan Walker (R) ³	57	·	Christian Scott (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.88 FIP3.74 IP571.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Citi Field hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.3°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
28	·Michael Busch (L) ⁴	57	·	Ryan Feltner (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP609.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73.8°F Wind14 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 14 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +3
29	·Adley Rutschman (S)	56	·	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.60 IP613.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+44 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94.2°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5
30	Riley Greene (L) ⁴	56	·	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.23 IP624.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+14 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2	Riley Greene — Home Run OffCody Laweryson Exit Velo98.6 mph Angle30.0° Distance356 ft StadiumComerica Park

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's 127 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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122 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-11

21 HRs

47%

10 caught / 21 HRs

in top 50

#5 Dominic Canzone

33.6%

🟡

#7 Luke Raley

34.0%

🟡

#17 Juan Soto

16.8%

🔵

#24 Jared Young

20.8%

🔵

#25 Seiya Suzuki

16.5%

🔵

#26 Pete Alonso

22.2%

🔵

#27 Colton Cowser

21.4%

🟠

#30 Riley Greene

15.6%

🟠

#38 Shohei Ohtani

20.0%

🟠

#39 Corey Seager

16.8%

🟠

Missed

Spencer Torkelson Brandon Lowe Alec Burleson Brett Sullivan Alex Bregman +6 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-11

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.