STL
@
1:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
92°F
open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
1:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.27
92°F, wind 4 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.240 | 92.7 | 15.8% | 29.4% vs RHP | 402 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.179 | 91.8 | 15.2% | 27.3% vs RHP | 404 | 10.0% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.193 | 93.5 | 13.7% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 50 | 0.134 | 86.5 | 11.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 390 | 10.9% | 36.4% | 13.6% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.135 | 90.0 | 12.2% | 13.5% vs RHP | 401 | 7.8% | 27.3% | 13.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.096 | 91.2 | 10.7% | 2.4% vs RHP | 389 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 92 | 0.098 | 89.2 | 11.0% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 25 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.261 | 94.6 | 6.7% | 33.3% vs RHP | 405 | 20.8% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.178 | 91.5 | 6.0% | 17.1% vs RHP | 403 | 15.9% | 27.3% | 12.9% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.125 | 89.2 | 5.5% | 15.0% vs RHP | 404 | 8.8% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 102 | 0.146 | 85.8 | 5.5% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.159 | 89.5 | 4.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.142 | 90.7 | 4.9% | 17.5% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 120 | 0.084 | 87.0 | 3.1% | 11.8% vs RHP | 379 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 28 |