2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 1:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof open
Park 0.98× Wind 4 mph slight_out 92°F open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
1:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.27

92°F, wind 4 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Hunter Dobbins
Hunter Dobbins RHP
0.69 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.16 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 13 0.240 92.7 15.8% 29.4% vs RHP 402 19.6% 9.1% 16.8% 36
2 Jared Young Jared Young 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.179 91.8 15.2% 27.3% vs RHP 404 10.0% 14.3% 20.8% 27
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.193 93.5 13.7% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 18.4% 14
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 50 0.134 86.5 11.7% 15.6% vs RHP 390 10.9% 36.4% 13.6% 31
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.135 90.0 12.2% 13.5% vs RHP 401 7.8% 27.3% 13.3% 32
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 37 ⚪ D · · 89 0.096 91.2 10.7% 2.4% vs RHP 389 6.2% 0.0% 6.3% 33
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 92 0.098 89.2 11.0% 10.3% vs RHP 415 4.8% 0.0% 7.3% 25
Christian Scott
Christian Scott RHP
0.25 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.03 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.261 94.6 6.7% 33.3% vs RHP 405 20.8% 18.2% 19.1% 34
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.178 91.5 6.0% 17.1% vs RHP 403 15.9% 27.3% 12.9% 39
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 34 ⚪ D · · 98 0.125 89.2 5.5% 15.0% vs RHP 404 8.8% 14.3% 10.1% 9
4 Nathan Church Nathan Church 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 102 0.146 85.8 5.5% 25.0% vs RHP 387 8.3% 0.0% 9.3% 7
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 32 ⚪ D · · 105 0.159 89.5 4.7% 16.7% vs RHP 404 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 35
6 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.142 90.7 4.9% 17.5% vs RHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 31
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D · · 120 0.084 87.0 3.1% 11.8% vs RHP 379 3.3% 10.0% 6.7% 28
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