MIN
@
1:10p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 1:10p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 10 mph slight_out
84°F
open
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
1:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.19
84°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.311 | 90.9 | 12.4% | 31.7% vs RHP | 394 | 22.6% | 36.4% | 32.6% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.250 | 91.0 | 11.2% | 26.7% vs RHP | 377 | 16.0% | 37.5% | 29.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.158 | 91.3 | 12.3% | 10.5% vs RHP | 394 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.178 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Rogers | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.121 | 86.7 | 11.2% | 7.1% vs RHP | 389 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 9.5% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 84 | 0.127 | 88.0 | 10.1% | 5.6% vs RHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.100 | 84.8 | 8.4% | 8.3% vs RHP | 395 | 5.9% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.069 | 88.5 | 8.1% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.061 | 85.0 | 5.8% | 3.7% vs RHP | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 21 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.315 | 90.4 | 13.2% | 35.4% vs RHP | 400 | 32.7% | 33.3% | 30.0% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 18 | 0.241 | 92.6 | 11.3% | 16.2% vs RHP | 391 | 11.5% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.181 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 19.4% vs RHP | 370 | 15.0% | 27.3% | 19.5% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Royce Lewis | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 64 | 0.110 | 87.9 | 10.2% | 21.4% vs RHP | 397 | 14.8% | 25.0% | 11.9% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 70 | 0.135 | 89.6 | 9.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 401 | 6.5% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.130 | 89.7 | 8.5% | 18.8% vs RHP | 389 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.136 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 10.3% vs RHP | 395 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Austin Martin | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.084 | 86.5 | 4.9% | 4.5% vs RHP | 392 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 28 |