2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
AZ
@ 1:10p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

loanDepot Park

First pitch 1:10p · roof unknown
Park 0.96× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96

Dome — weather irrelevant — mild park boost, weather flat.

Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
2.28 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.42 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Esteury Ruiz Esteury Ruiz 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 8 0.283 87.7 12.1% 17.6% 381 14.3% 25.0% 19.1% 6
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.147 91.5 14.7% 21.7% vs RHP 391 9.5% 22.2% 18.4% 17
3 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.157 90.7 12.1% 14.8% vs RHP 390 7.3% 18.2% 14.9% 29
4 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 35 0.190 85.7 8.8% 25.6% vs RHP 378 18.3% 11.1% 14.7% 34
5 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 49 ⚪ D · · 58 0.145 90.5 11.3% 11.1% vs RHP 400 6.2% 9.1% 8.3% 39
6 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 69 0.150 87.2 10.0% 5.9% vs RHP 396 7.7% 0.0% 8.9% 32
7 Joe Mack Joe Mack 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.080 90.2 10.5% 10.0% vs RHP 410 6.7% 12.5% 8.3% 23
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 94 0.095 86.8 7.8% 5.7% vs RHP 374 6.2% 0.0% 7.7% 24
9 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 95 0.110 87.3 5.2% 0.0% vs RHP 369 5.4% 14.3% 6.1% 23
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips RHP
0.42 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.80 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.267 92.0 9.0% 25.0% vs RHP 406 17.4% 33.3% 24.0% 39
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.212 89.6 8.3% 16.0% vs RHP 403 13.0% 18.2% 14.1% 31
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 48 ⚪ D · · 60 0.194 90.7 8.1% 15.9% vs RHP 416 12.5% 18.2% 11.1% 37
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 42 ⚪ D · · 81 0.187 85.3 6.4% 18.2% vs RHP 400 11.9% 8.3% 9.8% 24
5 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 99 0.162 85.4 6.1% 9.1% vs RHP 351 3.1% 0.0% 7.6% 9
6 Tommy Troy Tommy Troy 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.113 85.0 7.0% 14.3% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 26
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.107 87.4 4.3% 6.9% vs RHP 372 3.9% 8.3% 6.0% 40
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