Juan Soto
LHB13
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
21.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
24.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.237
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile
?Statcast-style HR metrics for this batter — same fields the model scores on. Red = elite, orange = above average, blue = below average, grey = no data.
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.240
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
91th pctile
92.7
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
91th pctile
15.8%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
99th pctile
29.4% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
95th pctile
402
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
74th pctile
19.6%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
9.1%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
16.8%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
84th pctile
36
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
HR Cadence ?Tracks how often this batter typically hits HRs and whether they're overdue. Based on the median gap (in games) between each HR this season. Display only — does not affect model score.
Typically goes yard every 3 games
· 13 HRs in 62 games
0×
Due (1×)
2×
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
62
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
47
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
12
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
92%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#35.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend ?Daily model rank over time. The Y-axis is inverted — lower on the chart = better rank. Green dots mark days this batter hit a home run.
HR Days (While Top 50) ?Every HR this batter hit on a day the model ranked them in the top 50. Shows the matchup conditions that led to each homer — pitcher, stadium, exit velocity, and distance.
| Date | Rank | Pitcher | Stadium | B/P | WT | BP | EV | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | #33 | Matthew Liberatore | Busch Stadium | · | · | · | 107.6 mph | 344.0 ft |
| 2026-05-06 | #26 | Michael Lorenzen | Coors Field | · | · | · | 104.3 mph | 435.0 ft |
| 2026-05-14 | #37 | Keider Montero | Citi Field | · | · | · | 105.2 mph | 412.0 ft |
| 2026-05-19 | #42 | Foster Griffin | Nationals Park | · | · | · | 110.2 mph | 434.0 ft |
| 2026-05-20 | #22 | Zack Littell | Nationals Park | · | · | · | 109.0 mph | 408.0 ft |
| 2026-05-22 | #15 | Eury Pérez | loanDepot Park | · | · | · | 107.7 mph | 449.0 ft |
| 2026-05-26 | #7 | Chase Burns | Citi Field | · | · | · | 103.0 mph | 384.0 ft |
| 2026-05-27 | #12 | Andrew Abbott | Citi Field | · | · | · | 96.4 mph | 366.0 ft |
| 2026-05-31 | #24 | John King | Citi Field | · | · | · | 109.0 mph | 433 ft |
| 2026-06-11 | #17 | JoJo Romero | Citi Field | L/R | ⚠️ | 101.2 mph | 398 ft | |
| 2026-06-12 | #32 | Spencer Strider | Citi Field | L/R | ✅ | 109.1 mph | 382 ft | |
| 2026-06-18 | #12 | Aaron Nola | Citizens Bank Park | L/R | ⚠️ | 105.0 mph | 389 ft |
All Appearances ?Complete log of every time this batter appeared on the scored slate. Includes model rank, tier, form trend, and whether they went yard. Rows highlighted in green = HR days.
| Date | Rank | Pitcher | B/P | HR/FB | Tier | Form | WT | BP | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | #10 | Shota Imanaga | L/L * | 27.7% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 🔥 | · | |
| 2026-06-21 | #7 | Zack Wheeler | L/R * | 37.7% | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-20 | #18 | Cristopher Sánchez | L/L * | 25.7% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-18 | #12 | Aaron Nola | L/R * | 23.7% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | ||
| 2026-06-17 | #11 | Nick Lodolo | L/L * | 21.7% | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-16 | #7 | Brady Singer | L/R * | 26.5% | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-15 | #18 | Chase Burns | L/R * | 25.2% | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-14 | #38 | Bryce Elder | L/R * | 24.1% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-13 | #19 | Martín Pérez | L/L * | 23.6% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | ✅ | · | |
| 2026-06-12 | #32 | Spencer Strider | L/R * | 18.0% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | ✅ | ||
| 2026-06-11 | #17 | Hunter Dobbins | L/R * | 16.8% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | ||
| 2026-06-10 | #35 | Andre Pallante | L/R * | 20.9% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-09 | #27 | Dustin May | L/R * | 29.5% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | ⚠️ | · | |
| 2026-06-07 | #12 | Randy Vásquez | · | 27.8% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-06 | #4 | Griffin Canning | · | 40.3% | 🔥 A+ | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | #15 | Michael King | · | 28.6% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-03 | #11 | George Kirby | · | 28.0% | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-02 | #9 | Logan Gilbert | · | 32.1% | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-01 | #6 | Emerson Hancock | · | 32.0% | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-31 | #24 | John King | · | 27.0% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-30 | #13 | Tyler Phillips | · | 26.6% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-29 | #9 | Max Meyer | · | 26.9% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-27 | #12 | Andrew Abbott | · | 27.0% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-26 | #7 | Chase Burns | · | 41.2% | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-23 | #12 | Max Meyer | · | 27.8% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-22 | #15 | Eury Pérez | · | 25.7% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-21 | #14 | Cade Cavalli | · | 25.1% | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-20 | #22 | Zack Littell | · | 36.6% | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-19 | #42 | Foster Griffin | · | 17.4% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-18 | #34 | Jake Irvin | · | 22.2% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-17 | #21 | Elmer Rodríguez | · | 25.2% | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-15 | #57 | Cam Schlittler | · | 9.4% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-14 | #37 | Keider Montero | · | 10.5% | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · | · | |
| 2026-05-13 | #71 | Framber Valdez | · | 12.2% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-12 | #27 | Jack Flaherty | · | 25.8% | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-10 | #134 | Eduardo Rodriguez | · | 17.8% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-09 | #100 | Merrill Kelly | · | 30.0% | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-08 | #118 | Ryne Nelson | · | 23.8% | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-07 | #6 | Jose Quintana | · | 35.8% | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-06 | #26 | Michael Lorenzen | · | 25.0% | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · | · | |
| 2026-05-04 | #7 | Tomoyuki Sugano | · | 19.1% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-03 | #73 | Jack Kochanowicz | · | 14.2% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-02 | #86 | Reid Detmers | · | 19.4% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-01 | #46 | Walbert Urena | · | 18.6% | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-30 | #30 | Miles Mikolas | · | 18.6% | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-26 | #77 | Jose Quintana | · | 8.2% | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-24 | #133 | Michael Lorenzen | · | 7.4% | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-23 | #67 | Joe Ryan | · | 6.6% | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-14 | #1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | · | 44.7% | 🔥 A+ | 🔥 HOT | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-11 | #40 | Jacob Lopez | · | 17.1% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-09 | #15 | Eduardo Rodriguez | · | 19.4% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-08 | #41 | Ryne Nelson | · | 17.0% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-07 | #24 | Zac Gallen | · | 20.8% | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-05 | #71 | Logan Webb | · | 13.7% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-04 | #58 | Landen Roupp | · | 14.1% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-02 | #6 | Robbie Ray | · | 13.5% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-01 | #33 | Matthew Liberatore | · | 14.8% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | |
| 2026-03-31 | #8 | Andre Pallante | · | 19.3% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-30 | #125 | Kyle Leahy | · | 11.4% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-29 | #62 | Carmen Mlodzinski | · | 14.9% | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | #30 | Mitch Keller | · | 16.0% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-26 | #63 | Paul Skenes | · | 12.6% | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · | · | · |