Slate · 2026-06-12

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2026-06-12

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Corbin Carroll vs Nick Lodolo FIP 7.12 HR/FB 26.5% #4 Dominic Canzone vs Zack Littell FIP 6.04 HR/FB 24.5% #12 Colt Emerson vs Zack Littell FIP 6.04 HR/FB 24.5% #13 Luke Raley vs Zack Littell FIP 6.04 HR/FB 24.5%

📦 STACK COL Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.75 HR/FB 13.6% → #1 Nick Kurtz, #3 Shea Langeliers, #6 Brent Rooker, #11 Tyler Soderstrom

📦 STACK Zack Littell FIP 6.04 HR/FB 24.5% → #4 Dominic Canzone, #12 Colt Emerson, #13 Luke Raley

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Nick Kurtz (L)	89	-17.1	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%18.5% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP617.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Nick Kurtz — Home Run OffSeth Halvorsen Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance471 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
2	Shea Langeliers (R)	83	-19.3	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP617.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Shea Langeliers — Home Run OffSeth Halvorsen Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance450 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
3	·Corbin Carroll (L) ³	82	+4.3	Nick Lodolo (LHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:15p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.45 FIP5.11 IP609.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.1°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
4	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	78	-5.7	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.02 FIP4.19 IP590.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78.3°F Wind8.0 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3	Byron Buxton — Home Run OffKyle Leahy Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle21.0° Distance425 ft StadiumTarget Field
5	·Luke Raley (L)	78	-5.7	Zack Littell (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.9°F Wind1.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 1 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2
6	Dominic Canzone (L) ⁴	77	-1.7	Zack Littell (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.9°F Wind1.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 1 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2	Dominic Canzone — Home Run OffPaxton Schultz Exit Velo97.8 mph Angle32.0° Distance395 ft StadiumNationals Park
7	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	76	+9.3	Tanner Bibee (RHP) DET @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP647.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind5.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
8	·Brent Rooker (R)	76	-16.7	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP617.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Jake Bauers (L) ³	75	+8.0	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.64 IP614.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78.2°F Wind6.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1	Jake Bauers — Home Run OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle19.0° Distance391 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field
10	·Tyler Soderstrom (L)	73	-14.9	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP617.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
11	·Hunter Goodman (R)	71	-18.2	Gage Jump (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.41 FIP4.82 IP606.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
12	·Pete Alonso (R) ²	71	+6.8	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +3
13	Matt Olson (L) ³	69	-3.8	Nolan McLean (RHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.91 FIP3.80 IP582.8000000000001 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+37 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.8°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +7	Matt Olson — Home Run OffCionel Pérez Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle22.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCiti Field
14	·Colton Cowser (L) ⁴	69	+6.7	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV86.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +3
15	·Gabriel Moreno (R) ⁴	69	+6.7	Nick Lodolo (LHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.45 FIP5.11 IP609.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.1°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
16	·Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	69	+6.7	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.64 IP614.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78.2°F Wind6.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1
17	·Colson Montgomery (L) ²	69	+2.4	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.98 FIP3.58 IP597.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	·Kerry Carpenter (L) ³	68	+4.8	Tanner Bibee (RHP) DET @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP647.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind5.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	·Miguel Vargas (R) ²	68	+3.4	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.98 FIP3.58 IP597.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	·Ben Rice (L) ²	68	+5.9	Trey Yesavage (RHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:37p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP3.87 IP612.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	·Max Muncy (S) ³	68	-0.1	Anthony Kay (LHP) LAD @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.39 IP607.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	·Ketel Marte (S) ³	67	+1.9	Nick Lodolo (LHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.6×	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.45 FIP5.11 IP609.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.1°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
23	·Jj Bleday (L) ³	66	+2.9	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.31 FIP4.57 IP610.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.1°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
24	Colt Emerson (L) ³	66	+3.2	Zack Littell (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV87.8 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.9°F Wind1.0 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 1 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2	Colt Emerson — Home Run OffZack Littell Exit Velo102.2 mph Angle33.0° Distance407 ft StadiumNationals Park
25	·Coby Mayo (R) ⁴	66	·	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +3
26	·Kyle Schwarber (L)	66	+1.6	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.91 FIP3.61 IP603.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-22 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78.2°F Wind6.0 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1
27	Juan Soto (L) ³	66	-10.6	Spencer Strider (RHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.99 FIP3.83 IP655.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+37 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.8°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +7	Juan Soto — Home Run OffSpencer Strider Exit Velo109.1 mph Angle24.0° Distance382 ft StadiumCiti Field
28	·Mike Trout (R) ²	65	-6.2	Shane McClanahan (LHP) TB @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.13 IP622.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-48 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp90.1°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +0
29	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	65	+0.8	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:37p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.5% HR/90.85 FIP3.57 IP613.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	Kazuma Okamoto — Home Run OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo111.4 mph Angle36.0° Distance423 ft StadiumRogers Centre
30	Samuel Basallo (L) ⁵	65	·	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +3	Samuel Basallo — Home Run OffGriffin Canning Exit Velo99.7 mph Angle31.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCamden Yards

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 235 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-12

35 HRs

42%

15 caught / 35 HRs

in top 50

#1 Nick Kurtz

33.9%

🔥

#3 Shea Langeliers

31.7%

🟢

#4 Dominic Canzone

35.9%

🟢

#7 Byron Buxton

28.0%

🟡

#9 Jake Bauers

32.5%

🟡

#12 Colt Emerson

42.7%

🟡

#14 Matt Olson

30.0%

🟡

#29 Kody Clemens

27.7%

🔵

#32 Juan Soto

18.0%

🔵

#33 Willson Contreras

23.7%

🔵

#35 Kazuma Okamoto

24.6%

🔵

#36 Yordan Álvarez

18.9%

🔵

#38 James Wood

25.3%

🔵

#39 Samuel Basallo

22.5%

🔵

#49 Alec Burleson

20.0%

🟠

Missed

Andrew Benintendi Gunnar Henderson Brooks Lee Brandon Lowe Spencer Torkelson +15 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-12

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.