2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
ATL
@ 7:15p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.96× Wind 10 mph out 93°F open
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.63

93°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +7. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean RHP
1.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.23 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 69 🔵 C+ +400 🌤️ WARM 13 0.299 93.8 9.8% 33.3% vs RHP 409 24.2% 25.0% 30.0% 35
2 Austin Riley Austin Riley 42 ⚪ D +525 · 129 0.171 90.8 8.1% 14.9% vs RHP 409 9.2% 0.0% 11.7% 27
3 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 40 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 141 0.156 89.3 7.1% 15.4% vs RHP 390 9.6% 11.1% 9.3% 32
4 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 39 ⚪ D +700 · 147 0.162 86.8 5.3% 12.8% vs RHP 390 13.6% 8.3% 9.3% 37
5 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 34 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 178 0.144 86.6 6.4% 15.2% vs RHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 26
6 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 34 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 182 0.146 90.6 5.1% 14.3% vs RHP 374 7.5% 0.0% 8.6% 24
7 Austin Wynns Austin Wynns 16 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 233 0.000 86.0 5.8% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 9
8 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 14 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 234 0.000 85.0 4.1% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 9
Spencer Strider
Spencer Strider RHP
1.56 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.40 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 66 🔵 C+ +285 🌧️ COOL 27 0.237 93.0 13.1% 28.6% vs RHP 402 21.2% 16.7% 18.0% 40
2 Jared Young Jared Young 61 🔵 C+ +625 🌤️ WARM 40 0.186 90.9 12.8% 21.4% vs RHP 401 18.2% 25.0% 21.8% 31
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 50 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 76 0.193 93.7 11.1% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 19.9% 16
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 47 ⚪ D +525 🔥 HOT 88 0.132 86.4 9.6% 15.2% vs RHP 390 10.8% 33.3% 12.2% 33
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 47 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 89 0.134 90.0 10.0% 13.5% vs RHP 401 7.7% 25.0% 14.2% 34
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 37 ⚪ D +525 · 161 0.094 91.2 8.9% 2.4% vs RHP 387 7.7% 8.3% 5.8% 37
7 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 36 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 167 0.105 89.1 7.0% 7.7% vs RHP 413 5.6% 14.3% 6.8% 19
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 35 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 174 0.097 89.3 8.9% 10.0% vs RHP 415 4.7% 0.0% 7.8% 28
🏟️
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