ATL
@
7:15p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.96×
Wind 10 mph out
93°F
open
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.63
93°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +7. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.299 | 93.8 | 9.8% | 33.3% vs RHP | 409 | 24.2% | 25.0% | 30.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Austin Riley | 42 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 129 | 0.171 | 90.8 | 8.1% | 14.9% vs RHP | 409 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Smith | 40 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.156 | 89.3 | 7.1% | 15.4% vs RHP | 390 | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 147 | 0.162 | 86.8 | 5.3% | 12.8% vs RHP | 390 | 13.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 178 | 0.144 | 86.6 | 6.4% | 15.2% vs RHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.146 | 90.6 | 5.1% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Wynns | 16 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.000 | 86.0 | 5.8% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 14 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.000 | 85.0 | 4.1% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 9 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +285 | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.237 | 93.0 | 13.1% | 28.6% vs RHP | 402 | 21.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.186 | 90.9 | 12.8% | 21.4% vs RHP | 401 | 18.2% | 25.0% | 21.8% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.193 | 93.7 | 11.1% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.9% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 47 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🔥 HOT | 88 | 0.132 | 86.4 | 9.6% | 15.2% vs RHP | 390 | 10.8% | 33.3% | 12.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 47 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.134 | 90.0 | 10.0% | 13.5% vs RHP | 401 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 161 | 0.094 | 91.2 | 8.9% | 2.4% vs RHP | 387 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Torrens | 36 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.105 | 89.1 | 7.0% | 7.7% vs RHP | 413 | 5.6% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.097 | 89.3 | 8.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 415 | 4.7% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 28 |