AZ
@
7:15p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 1.17×
Wind 4 mph in
83°F
open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.29
83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 82 | 🟢 A | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.263 | 92.0 | 13.0% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 17.0% | 30.8% | 33.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | · | 15 | 0.208 | 89.5 | 11.9% | 22.2% vs LHP | 403 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 25.2% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ketel Marte | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | · | 22 | 0.191 | 90.7 | 11.8% | 33.3% vs LHP | 416 | 12.2% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +750 | · | 45 | 0.184 | 85.1 | 9.3% | 33.3% vs LHP | 400 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 19.8% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 53 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.169 | 86.8 | 7.1% | 38.5% vs LHP | 399 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 19.0% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Ryan Waldschmidt | 47 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.101 | 87.1 | 10.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.105 | 87.3 | 6.2% | 7.1% vs LHP | 372 | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 42 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 23 | 0.296 | 89.9 | 10.1% | 18.2% vs LHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.5% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | · | 41 | 0.191 | 89.5 | 10.2% | 28.6% vs LHP | 393 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 26.6% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | · | 44 | 0.203 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 38.5% vs LHP | 394 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 50 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 79 | 0.143 | 90.7 | 9.3% | 8.3% vs LHP | 381 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Mclain | 48 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.166 | 88.0 | 8.4% | 26.7% vs LHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.7% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Dane Myers | 44 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.120 | 90.2 | 8.3% | 14.3% vs LHP | 378 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 42 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 126 | 0.134 | 86.6 | 7.6% | 25.0% vs LHP | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 142 | 0.120 | 88.7 | 5.6% | 10.5% | 381 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 24 | ⚪ D | +800 | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.072 | 88.2 | · | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 12 |