2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
AZ
@ 7:15p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 1.17× Wind 4 mph in 83°F open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
8:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
9:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
10:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
11:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.29

83°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo LHP 💥 Meltdown
2.53 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +2.00 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 82 🟢 A +525 🌤️ WARM 3 0.263 92.0 13.0% 12.5% vs LHP 406 17.0% 30.8% 33.1% 40
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 69 🔵 C+ +950 · 15 0.208 89.5 11.9% 22.2% vs LHP 403 12.5% 16.7% 25.2% 32
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 67 🔵 C+ +625 · 22 0.191 90.7 11.8% 33.3% vs LHP 416 12.2% 16.7% 20.5% 41
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 60 🔵 C+ +750 · 45 0.184 85.1 9.3% 33.3% vs LHP 400 11.7% 7.7% 19.8% 25
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 53 🟠 C +950 🌤️ WARM 68 0.169 86.8 7.1% 38.5% vs LHP 399 8.5% 0.0% 19.0% 29
6 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 47 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 90 0.101 87.1 10.7% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 25
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 119 0.105 87.3 6.2% 7.1% vs LHP 372 3.8% 7.7% 10.2% 42
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez LHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.31 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 66 🔵 C+ +700 · 23 0.296 89.9 10.1% 18.2% vs LHP 387 0.0% 0.0% 26.5% 39
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 61 🔵 C+ +700 · 41 0.191 89.5 10.2% 28.6% vs LHP 393 10.9% 16.7% 26.6% 31
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 60 🔵 C+ +525 · 44 0.203 90.8 10.8% 38.5% vs LHP 394 9.6% 8.3% 18.4% 32
4 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 50 🟠 C +850 · 79 0.143 90.7 9.3% 8.3% vs LHP 381 7.3% 11.1% 9.1% 26
5 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 48 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 85 0.166 88.0 8.4% 26.7% vs LHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 22.7% 19
6 Dane Myers Dane Myers 44 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 112 0.120 90.2 8.3% 14.3% vs LHP 378 7.7% 0.0% 9.2% 14
7 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 42 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 126 0.134 86.6 7.6% 25.0% vs LHP 388 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 26
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 40 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 142 0.120 88.7 5.6% 10.5% 381 5.3% 10.0% 8.7% 37
9 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 24 ⚪ D +800 🌤️ WARM 218 0.072 88.2 · 12.5% 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 12
🏟️
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