2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
HOU
@ 8:10p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 8:10p · roof open
Park 0.88× Wind 1 mph cross 84°F open
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
12:10a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96

84°F, wind 1 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1 — mild park boost, weather flat.

Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila RHP
0.61 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.55 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 57 🟠 C +900 · 53 0.313 · 12.1% 25.9% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 18.9% 31
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 55 🟠 C +380 🌧️ COOL 64 0.253 90.4 9.7% 31.1% vs RHP 391 21.2% 8.3% 11.9% 33
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 43 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 115 0.144 89.4 10.3% 16.7% vs RHP 415 11.1% 18.2% 9.0% 27
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 42 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 123 0.167 87.2 7.5% 20.4% vs RHP 368 10.8% 25.0% 12.3% 32
5 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 31 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 193 0.132 85.6 6.3% 8.3% vs RHP 423 4.5% 9.1% 4.9% 32
6 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 30 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 196 0.134 · 6.8% 23.8% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 8
7 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 199 0.112 87.7 7.3% 11.1% vs RHP 398 6.5% 0.0% 5.1% 10
8 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 24 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 219 0.128 85.7 3.8% 13.6% vs RHP 373 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 23
Tatsuya Imai RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.31 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.72 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 55 🟠 C +500 · 61 0.177 93.8 12.0% 19.2% vs RHP 414 10.3% 16.7% 20.4% 30
2 Michael Massey Michael Massey 53 🟠 C +625 🌧️ COOL 69 0.199 91.0 8.7% 10.9% vs RHP 393 8.1% 30.0% 20.5% 33
3 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 49 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 81 0.164 90.2 9.5% 17.0% vs RHP 384 12.8% 20.0% 14.7% 30
4 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 39 ⚪ D +525 · 149 0.127 88.8 8.3% 13.3% vs RHP 395 9.5% 7.7% 8.3% 43
5 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 33 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 185 0.089 88.4 8.4% 8.0% vs RHP 377 5.3% 0.0% 7.6% 27
🏟️
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