HOU
@
8:10p
KC
Stadium Conditions
Kauffman Stadium
First pitch 8:10p
· roof open
Park 0.88×
Wind 1 mph cross
84°F
open
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
4 mph · in
78°F
12:10a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96
84°F, wind 1 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1 — mild park boost, weather flat.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 57 | 🟠 C | +900 | · | 53 | 0.313 | · | 12.1% | 25.9% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.9% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 55 | 🟠 C | +380 | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.253 | 90.4 | 9.7% | 31.1% vs RHP | 391 | 21.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 43 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.144 | 89.4 | 10.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 415 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 42 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.167 | 87.2 | 7.5% | 20.4% vs RHP | 368 | 10.8% | 25.0% | 12.3% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.132 | 85.6 | 6.3% | 8.3% vs RHP | 423 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Altuve | 30 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.134 | · | 6.8% | 23.8% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Brice Matthews | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 199 | 0.112 | 87.7 | 7.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 398 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 24 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.128 | 85.7 | 3.8% | 13.6% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 23 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 61 | 0.177 | 93.8 | 12.0% | 19.2% vs RHP | 414 | 10.3% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Massey | 53 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.199 | 91.0 | 8.7% | 10.9% vs RHP | 393 | 8.1% | 30.0% | 20.5% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Carter Jensen | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.164 | 90.2 | 9.5% | 17.0% vs RHP | 384 | 12.8% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 149 | 0.127 | 88.8 | 8.3% | 13.3% vs RHP | 395 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Isaac Collins | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.089 | 88.4 | 8.4% | 8.0% vs RHP | 377 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 27 |