2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 8:10p
MIN
Target Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Target Field

First pitch 8:10p · roof open
Park 0.94× Wind 8 mph out 78°F open
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
12:10a
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22

78°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.23 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.42 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 78 🟡 B +305 · 4 0.323 90.3 14.1% 37.5% vs RHP 400 32.1% 33.3% 28.0% 27
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 64 🔵 C+ +500 · 33 0.244 92.4 12.1% 18.4% vs RHP 391 11.1% 20.0% 27.7% 36
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 51 🟠 C +950 🌤️ WARM 74 0.179 87.5 7.5% 21.2% vs RHP 370 14.8% 27.3% 21.1% 40
4 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 47 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 94 0.130 88.0 10.8% 18.8% vs RHP 397 14.3% 20.0% 9.3% 16
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 45 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 108 0.132 89.4 10.3% 20.0% vs RHP 401 6.4% 18.2% 10.8% 34
6 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 43 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 121 0.130 89.6 9.0% 18.8% vs RHP 389 10.5% 12.5% 8.9% 23
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 37 ⚪ D +750 · 162 0.136 86.2 7.7% 10.3% vs RHP 395 3.6% 0.0% 8.2% 24
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 25 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 216 0.076 84.3 5.3% 5.9% vs RHP 367 1.8% 0.0% 6.0% 34
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
0.90 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.50 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 64 🔵 C+ +525 🌧️ COOL 35 0.268 94.6 12.7% 32.4% vs RHP 405 20.4% 16.7% 15.3% 37
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 56 🟠 C +550 🌤️ WARM 56 0.186 91.6 11.5% 20.9% vs RHP 405 17.2% 33.3% 20.0% 43
3 Nathan Church Nathan Church 38 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 152 0.143 85.9 10.3% 25.0% vs RHP 387 8.1% 0.0% 9.5% 8
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 36 ⚪ D +750 · 169 0.157 89.4 8.9% 16.0% vs RHP 404 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 36
5 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 34 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 181 0.139 90.7 9.2% 15.9% vs RHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 35
6 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 26 ⚪ D +950 · 210 0.082 87.1 6.5% 11.1% vs RHP 379 3.2% 9.1% 5.9% 31
🏟️
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