STL
@
8:10p
MIN
Stadium Conditions
Target Field
First pitch 8:10p
· roof open
Park 0.94×
Wind 8 mph out
78°F
open
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
64°F
12:10a
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22
78°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 78 | 🟡 B | +305 | · | 4 | 0.323 | 90.3 | 14.1% | 37.5% vs RHP | 400 | 32.1% | 33.3% | 28.0% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | · | 33 | 0.244 | 92.4 | 12.1% | 18.4% vs RHP | 391 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 27.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 51 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.179 | 87.5 | 7.5% | 21.2% vs RHP | 370 | 14.8% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Royce Lewis | 47 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.130 | 88.0 | 10.8% | 18.8% vs RHP | 397 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 45 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.132 | 89.4 | 10.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 6.4% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray | 43 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 121 | 0.130 | 89.6 | 9.0% | 18.8% vs RHP | 389 | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 162 | 0.136 | 86.2 | 7.7% | 10.3% vs RHP | 395 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 25 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.076 | 84.3 | 5.3% | 5.9% vs RHP | 367 | 1.8% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 34 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.268 | 94.6 | 12.7% | 32.4% vs RHP | 405 | 20.4% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 56 | 🟠 C | +550 | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.186 | 91.6 | 11.5% | 20.9% vs RHP | 405 | 17.2% | 33.3% | 20.0% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Nathan Church | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 152 | 0.143 | 85.9 | 10.3% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 36 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 169 | 0.157 | 89.4 | 8.9% | 16.0% vs RHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 34 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.139 | 90.7 | 9.2% | 15.9% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 26 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 210 | 0.082 | 87.1 | 6.5% | 11.1% vs RHP | 379 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 31 |